BYU Cougars vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 10/16/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: BYU Cougars vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49

McLane Stadium is the site where the Baylor Bears (5-1) will take on the BYU Cougars (5-1) on Saturday. Baylor opens this matchup as 4.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 49.

The BYU Cougars head into this matchup 5-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Cougars played against the Boise State Broncos and ended up losing by a score of 26-17. Jaren Hall finished 22/37 with 302 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 131.5 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Tyler Allgeier led the offense in rushing for the Cougars with 19 totes for 73 yards (3.8 yds per carry). In all, they tallied 64 plays which gave them 413 yards. The BYU Cougars ran the ball a total of 27 different times and tallied 111 yds, earning them an average of 4.1 yards per tote. In the running game, the Cougars conceded 140 yards on 45 tries, which averages out to 3.1 yds per run allowed. BYU surrendered 18 completions on 29 tries for 172 yards, and a completion rate of 62.1%.

Regarding scoring, the BYU Cougars hold an average of 27.2 points per outing. As a team they're maintaining an average of 167.3 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 61st in D-1. The Cougars have racked up 2,429 yards in total over the course of this season. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, BYU has compiled 13 touchdowns via the pass and 8 touchdowns via the ground. BYU has accrued 129 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 36 penalties for 314 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 6 times.

The Cougars sit in 45th in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 20.5 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.5 yards per rushing attempt and 128.5 rushing yards per contest so far this year. Overall, they have allowed 771 rushing yards through 6 contests. When talking about passing yards, the Cougars have conceded 1,429 yds which ranks them 105th in the country. They have allowed 238.2 yards per contest via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 65.3%. During this campaign, they have yielded 366.7 yards per game putting them 73rd in D-1. They have allowed 4 touchdowns by air as well as 8 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bears head into this game 5-1 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Bears got the victory with a final of 45-20 against the West Virginia Mountaineers. Abram Smith ran the football 11 times for 87 yards, walking away from the game with 7.9 yards per attempt for Baylor. Gerry Bohanon (4 TDs) ended the game with 336 yds on 18/29 through the air while his QB rating was 204.9. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 11.6. Baylor gave up 38 attempts on the ground for 90 yds (2.4 yards per rush). The Bears pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 64.9%, relinquishing 272 yards on 24 out of 37 passing. The Bears finished with a total of 525 yards while running 63 plays (8.3 yds per play). Baylor rushed for 5.3 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 171 yards on 32 carries.

The Baylor Bears hold an average of 461.5 yards per contest, which ranks them 25th in the country. The Baylor offense has 393 penalty yds on 43 infractions, which is 26th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. For the year to this point, the Bears have thrown for a total of 1,403 passing yards along with holding an average of 233.8 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 65th in the nation. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Bears rank 17th in the nation averaging 38.3 points per contest.

Baylor has surrendered a total of 897 yards on the ground (149.5 yards per game) in addition to 7 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the year. They have conceded 5 touchdowns through the air in addition to 175.0 yards per contest, which has them sitting 27th in the country. The Bears defense has taken the field for 409 plays, which ranks 96th in D-1. The Bears are giving up 17.8 points per game, which has them ranked 33rd in the nation. In total, they have conceded 107 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Cougars/Bears college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bears -4.5

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