Bowling Green Falcons vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction, 9/25/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Bowling Green Falcons vs Minnesota Golden Gophers

Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021

Location: TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Golden Gophers (-31.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Bowling Green Falcons (1-2) are traveling to TCF Bank Stadium on Saturday where they will meet the Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-1). Bowling Green is 31.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 50.5.

The Bowling Green Falcons head into this matchup 1-2 for this season. In their last contest, the Falcons faced the Murray State Racers and took home the win by a score of 27-10. Jaison Patterson led the offense in rushing for the Falcons with 14 attempts for 35 yards (2.5 yards per carry). Matt McDonald finished 22/28 with 221 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 149.5 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. On the ground, the Falcons conceded 69 yds on 33 attempts, which averages out to 2.1 yds per run surrendered. Bowling Green allowed 13 pass completions on 28 tries for 132 yards, and a completion rate of 46.4%. Overall, they ran 67 plays for 353 yds. The Bowling Green Falcons ran the ball 39 times and accounted for 132 yards, earning them an average of 3.4 yds per attempt.

Concerning getting in the endzone, the Bowling Green Falcons hold an average of 17.3 points per outing. Offensively they have an average of 57.7 yards on the ground which is 127th in D-1. The Falcons have attained 889 total yards this season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Bowling Green has compiled 2 touchdowns through the air and 2 touchdowns via the ground. Bowling Green has earned 43 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 33 infractions for 319 yards. They have turned the football over 3 different times.

Regarding passing yards, the Falcons have allowed 534 yards which puts them in 46th in Division 1. They have conceded 178.0 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 55.0%. For the season, they have given up 347.7 yards per outing which has them sitting 74th in Division 1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per run and 169.7 rushing yards per contest on the year. Over the course of this year, they have given up 509 running yards through 3 games. The Falcons sit in 79th in D-1 in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 23.3 points per game.

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The Golden Gophers head into this matchup 2-1 this season. When they last played, the Golden Gophers walked away with a victory by a final of 30-0 when they played the Colorado Buffaloes. Tanner Morgan finished the contest with 164 yds on 11/17 passing while his QB rating was 145.7. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.6. Treyson Potts ran the ball 26 times for 121 yards, finishing the contest with 4.7 yds per attempt for Minnesota. The Golden Gophers finished the game with a total of 441 yds and they ran 70 plays (6.3 yards per play). Minnesota rushed the football for 5.2 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 277 yards on 53 carries. Minnesota allowed 21 run attempts for -19 yds (-0.9 yards per rush). The Golden Gophers secondary allowed a completion rate of 50.0%, relinquishing 82 yards on 12 out of 24 passing.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers average 378.7 yards per contest, which has them sitting 81st in Division 1. The Minnesota offense has 129 yards of penalties on 13 infractions, which ranks 115th in the country in terms of making mistakes. For the season to this point, the Golden Gophers have a total of 481 yards through the air along with an average of 160.3 passing yards per outing, putting them at 113th in the country. Regarding their ability to score points, the Golden Gophers rank 62nd in the country holding an average of 30.7 PPG.

The Golden Gophers are surrendering 23.7 PPG, which has them sitting 81st in the nation. Minnesota has conceded a total of 286 yards rushing (95.3 yards per game) in addition to 2 touchdowns on the ground on the year. Overall, they have given up 71 total points. They have given up 6 touchdowns via the pass and 204.3 yards/outing, which has them in 71st in the country. The Golden Gophers defense has been on the field for 154 plays, ranking them 20th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Golden Gophers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +31.5

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