Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami RedHawks Prediction, 11/16/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami RedHawks

Date: Tuesday, November 16, 2021

Location: Yager Stadium in Oxford, OH

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: RedHawks (-16)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Miami RedHawks (5-5) will try to defeat the Bowling Green Falcons (3-7) at Yager Stadium on Tuesday. Miami opens as 16-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 50.5.

The Bowling Green Falcons head into this matchup 3-7 for this season. In their last game, the Falcons played against the Toledo Rockets and took a loss by a score of 44-17. Matt McDonald went 11/20 with 65 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 98.8 and walked away from the contest without throwing an interception. Terion Stewart was the rushing leader for the Falcons with 13 attempts for 42 yards (3.2 yards per carry). The Bowling Green Falcons rushed the ball a total of 40 times and recorded 129 yds, which had them averaging 3.2 yards per tote. Once the final whistle blew, they had 65 plays for 196 yds. Bowling Green surrendered 17 completions on 35 attempts for a total of 277 yds, and a completion percentage of 48.6%. On the ground, the Falcons gave up 222 yds on 64 attempts, which calculates to 3.5 yds per rush surrendered.

The Falcons have tallied 3,213 total yards for the season. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Bowling Green has amassed 11 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 16 times. Bowling Green has a total of 154 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 84 penalties for 778 yds. As a unit they hold an average of 99.8 yards in the run game which has them sitting 121st in D-1. Concerning scoring, the Bowling Green Falcons are averaging 22.9 points per outing.

The Falcons are ranked 119th in college football when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 32.4 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.2 yards per rush and 201.1 rushing yards per game this season. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 2,011 yards via the ground game in 10 outings. In terms of passing yards, the Falcons are conceding 1,905 yards which puts them in 31st in Division 1. They are giving up 190.5 yards per contest through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 59.8%. In total, they have allowed 391.6 yards per contest putting them at 89th in D-1. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 26 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The RedHawks step onto the field holding a record of 5-5 for this season. In their last game, the RedHawks got the victory with a final of 45-35 when they faced the Buffalo Bulls. Keyon Mozee ran the ball 15 times for 67 yards, walking away from the game with 4.5 yards per carry for Miami. Brett Gabbert (4 TDs) finished the game with 351 yds on 21/28 passing while his QB rate was 98.3. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per attempt was 12.5. Miami gave up 33 running attempts for 125 yards (3.8 yards per rush). The RedHawks pass defense conceded a completion rate of 69.7%, surrendering 288 yards on 23 out of 33 passing. The RedHawks finished the contest with 536 yds while running 64 plays (8.4 yds per play). Miami ran the football for 5.1 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 185 yds on 36 attempts.

The Miami RedHawks are averaging 421.6 yards per game, which ranks them 55th in D-1. The Miami offense has racked up 637 yds of penalties on 71 infractions, which has them ranked 31st in college football in terms of helping out the other team. For the season thus far, the RedHawks have thrown for a total of 2,759 passing yards along with holding an average of 275.9 passing yards per game, which is ranked 25th in Division 1. When discussing the points being put on the board, the RedHawks are 74th in Division 1 with 26.8 points per outing.

Miami has conceded a total of 1,358 yards rushing (135.8 yards per outing) and 11 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have conceded 15 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 221.7 yards/game, which has them in 62nd in Division 1. The RedHawks defense has taken part in 650 plays, which ranks 44th in D-1. The RedHawks are allowing 23.1 PPG, which has them ranked 62nd in Division 1. This season, they have conceded 231 pts.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/RedHawks college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Falcons +16

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