Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 11/26/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs
Date: Friday, November 26, 2021
Location: Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, CA
TV: CBS
Odds/Point Spread: Aztecs (+2.5)
Total/Over-Under: 44
The San Diego State Aztecs (10-1) will take on the Boise State Broncos (7-4) at Dignity Health Sports Park on Friday. San Diego State opens as 2.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 44.
The Boise State Broncos head into this game 7-4 for this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Broncos played the New Mexico Lobos and went home with a win by a final score of 37-0. George Holani was the best rusher for the Broncos with 14 carries for 114 yards (8.1 yds per attempt). Hank Bachmeier went 11/22 with 146 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 111.7 and finished the game with 1 pick. Against the run, the Broncos gave up 83 yds on 42 attempts, which is an average of 2.0 yds per rush allowed. Boise State allowed 2 completions on 7 tries for a total of 18 yards, and a completion rate of 28.6%. When the final whistle blew, they ran 69 plays which gave them 427 yds. The Boise State Broncos rushed the ball a total of 44 different times and totaled 239 yds, earning them an average of 5.4 yards per carry.
When it comes to scoring, the Boise State Broncos are sitting at 30.4 points per outing. As a team they're holding an average of 126.7 yards via the ground game which ranks them 101st in the nation. The Broncos have tallied 4,294 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Boise State has compiled 18 touchdowns through the air and 15 touchdowns on the ground. Boise State has recorded 244 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 58 infractions for 591 yds. They have turned the ball over 12 times.
In terms of passing yardage, the Broncos have conceded 2,193 yds which puts them in 36th in the nation. They have yielded 199.4 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 58.3%. For the year, they are conceding 361.6 yards per contest ranking them 62nd in the nation. They have surrendered 11 touchdowns by air and 12 touchdowns running the ball. They are giving up an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 162.3 rushing yards per contest for the year. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,785 running yards through 11 games. The Broncos rank 23rd in the country when it comes to team defense, giving up 18.3 PPG.
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The Aztecs come into this game with a record of 10-1 for this season. In their last game, the Aztecs walked away with a victory by a final of 28-20 against the UNLV Runnin' Rebels. Lucas Johnson (3 TDs) ended the contest with 192 yards on 18/24 passing while his QB rate was 175.1. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 8.0. Greg Bell carried the ball 17 times for 58 yds, ending the game with 3.4 yards per carry for San Diego State. San Diego State rushed for 3.1 yds per attempt, totaling 98 yards on 32 attempts. The Aztecs finished with a total of 290 yds while running 57 plays (5.1 yds per play). The Aztecs passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 61.8%, surrendering 372 yds on 21 out of 34 through the air. San Diego State allowed 26 attempts on the ground for 22 yds (0.8 yards per carry).
The San Diego State Aztecs maintain an average of 328.5 yards per outing, which is good for 114th in Division 1. The San Diego State offense has racked up 633 yds of penalties on 72 infractions, which ranks 52nd in college football in terms of giving up free yards. During this campaign thus far, the Aztecs have thrown for 1,601 yards through the air in addition to an average of 145.5 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 125th in Division 1. Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Aztecs rank 69th in the country averaging 27.7 points per contest.
San Diego State has given up a total of 853 rushing yards (77.5 yards per game) as well as 4 touchdowns rushing this year. They have given up 17 touchdowns through the air and 236.4 yards per game, which has them sitting 92nd in D-1. The Aztecs defense has participated in 748 plays, which has them sitting 77th in the nation. The Aztecs are relinquishing 17.4 points per game, which has them 22nd in college football. Overall, they have relinquished 191 points.
Who will win tonight's Broncos/Aztecs college football game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos -2.5
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Additional Resources:
San Diego State Aztecs - Twitter
Boise State Broncos - Twitter