Baylor Bears vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 9/4/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Saturday, September 4, 2021

Location: Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bobcats (+13.5)

Total/Over-Under: 57

The Texas State Bobcats (2-10 last season) host the Baylor Bears (2-7 last year) at Bobcat Stadium on Saturday. Texas State opens as 13.5-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 57.

The Baylor Bears wrapped up their year with a 2-7 record. In their last contest, the Bears stepped onto the field against the Oklahoma State Cowboys and ended up losing by a score of 42-3. Charlie Brewer finished 13/26 with 68 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 72.0 and ended the game without throwing an interception. Trestan Ebner was the rushing leader for the Bears with 9 totes for 21 yds (2.3 yds per carry). In all, they tallied 65 plays which gave them 156 yds. The Baylor Bears ran the rock 31 times and tallied 70 yards, which came out to an average of 2.3 yds per carry. Against the rush, the Bears gave up 261 yds on 47 tries, which is an average of 5.6 yards per run surrendered. Baylor surrendered 20 completions on 30 tries for 347 yds, and a completion rate of 66.7%.

The Bears earned 2,792 yards in total for the prior campaign. They gave the ball to the opposition 9 times. Baylor compiled 14 passing touchdowns and 8 touchdowns via the ground. Baylor earned 165 1st downs, and they were called for 65 infractions for 562 yds. As a team they maintained an average of 90.3 yards in the run game, giving them a rank of 126th in college football. When talking about getting in the endzone, the Baylor Bears were sitting at 23.3 points per game.

The Bears were ranked 75th in college football in terms of the opposition scoring, allowing 29.2 points per game. The opposition ran for 4.4 yards per rush on the ground and 180.4 rushing yards per game last year. During the season, they allowed 1,624 running yards through 9 outings. Concerning passing yards, the Bears conceded 1,827 yds which ranked them 66th in D-1. In their 9 games played last year, they allowed 203.0 yards per game through the air and relinquishing a completion percentage of 63.5%. They allowed 12 touchdowns through the air in addition to 20 touchdowns via the ground game. They surrendered 383.4 yards per outing which had them ranked 60th in the nation.

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The Bobcats wrapped up their season holding a 2-10 mark. The last time they took the gridiron, the Bobcats walked away with a loss by a score of 49-14 against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers. Jahmyl Jeter ran the ball 7 times for 47 yds, ending the game with 6.7 yards per carry for Texas State. Brady McBride (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 202 yds on 20/26 passing while his QB rating was 154.9. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per attempt was 7.8. Texas State conceded 56 run attempts for 406 yds (7.3 yds per rush). The Bobcats passing defense allowed a completion rate of 60.0%, relinquishing 166 yards on 12 out of 20 through the air. The Bobcats finished with 318 yards while they ran 50 plays (6.4 yds per play). Texas State rushed the ball for 4.8 yards per tote, finishing with 116 yards on 24 carries.

The Texas State Bobcats had an average of 370.3 yards per game which was good for 85th in D-1. They gave away 14 interceptions while losing 4 fumbles and they obtained 246 first downs. They maintained an average of 131.9 rushing yards per game and toted the ball for 1,583 yards for the season. The Texas State offense racked up 598 penalty yds on 62 infractions, ranking them 41st in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. Last year, the Bobcats racked up 2,861 passing yards as well as averaging 238.4 throwing yards per contest, ranking them 56th in Division 1. In relation to their ability to score points, the Bobcats earned a ranking of 69th in the nation scoring 27.7 points per game.

The Bobcats relinquished 38.2 points per game, which had them sitting 129th in Division 1. Over the course of the season, they surrendered 458 points in total. Texas State conceded a total of 2,720 yards rushing (226.7 yards per contest) in addition to 29 touchdowns by way of the ground game last season. They yielded 26 touchdowns through the air and 270.4 yards per outing, ranking them 127th in college football. The Bobcats defense took the field for 938 plays, which ranked them 142nd in the country. Their defense tallied 8 fumbles recovered and 6 interceptions last year.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Bobcats college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bobcats +13.5

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