Baylor Bears vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 1/1/2021 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Saturday, January 1, 2022

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52

The Ole Miss Rebels (10-2) will compete against the Baylor Bears (11-2) at Caesars Superdome on Saturday in the Allstate Sugar Bowl. Ole Miss is 1.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 52.

The Baylor Bears step onto the field holding a record of 11-2 for this season. In their last game, the Bears played the Oklahoma State Cowboys and took home the win by a score of 21-16. Abram Smith led the offense in rushing for the Bears with 17 attempts for 63 yds (3.7 yards per attempt). Blake Shapen went 23/28 with 180 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 171.5 and walked away from the game without throwing a pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Bears gave up 70 yds on 40 tries, which is 1.8 yds per run allowed. Baylor conceded 32 completions on 47 tries for a total of 263 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.1%. In all, they had 61 plays which totaled 242 yds. The Baylor Bears ran the rock 33 different times and compiled 62 yards, which earned them an average of 1.9 yards per carry.

The Bears have racked up 5,602 total yards for the season. In terms of scoring, Baylor has compiled 23 touchdowns through the air and 29 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 14 different times. Baylor has compiled 278 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 70 penalties for 621 yards. As a unit they average 214.9 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 16th in the country. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Baylor Bears are averaging 32.5 points per game.

The Bears are ranked 14th in Division 1 concerning team defense, giving up 19.2 points per game. They are allowing 3.5 yards per run and 118.8 yards on the ground per contest on the year. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,544 yards via the running game in 13 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Bears have given up 3,006 yds which puts them in 97th in the nation. They have given up 231.2 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 61.0%. During the season, they have given up 350.0 yards per game which has them ranked 41st in D-1. They have conceded 12 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 16 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Rebels head into this game 10-2 for this season. For their last game, the Rebels walked away with a victory by a final of 31-21 against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Matt Corral (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 234 yards on 26/34 passing while his QB rate was 138.1. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 6.9. Jerrion Ealy ran the football 16 times for 60 yards, walking away from the game with 3.8 yards per carry for Ole Miss. The Rebels finished the game with 388 yds while they ran 78 plays (5.0 yards per play). Ole Miss ran for 3.5 yds per carry, finishing the game with 154 yards on 44 carries. Ole Miss relinquished 21 attempts on the ground for 84 yds (4.0 yds per carry). The Rebels pass defense gave up a completion rate of 64.4%, relinquishing 336 yds on 38 for 59 through the air.

In relation to their ability to score points, the Rebels are 18th in the country with 35.9 PPG. During the season so far, the Rebels have thrown for a total of 3,383 passing yards not to mention an average of 281.9 passing yards per game, ranking them 21st in Division 1. The Ole Miss Rebels are averaging 506.6 yards/game, which has them sitting 4th in Division 1. The Ole Miss offense has 934 yds of penalties on 112 infractions, which ranks them 2nd in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition.

Ole Miss has conceded a total of 2,196 yards via the ground game (183.0 yards/game) in addition to 24 touchdowns rushing for the campaign. They have allowed 13 touchdowns through the air as well as 245.8 yards per outing, which puts them in 94th in the nation. The Rebels defense has taken the field for 934 plays, which has them ranked 126th in D-1. The Rebels are surrendering 25.0 PPG, ranking them 54th in college football. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 300 total points.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rebels -1.5

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