Arkansas Razorbacks vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 10/9/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Saturday, October 9, 2021

Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS

TV: ESPN or CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (-7)

Total/Over-Under: 64.5

The Ole Miss Rebels (3-1) host the Arkansas Razorbacks (4-1) at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday. Arkansas opens this matchup as 7-point dogs. The betting total is set at 64.5.

The Arkansas Razorbacks head into this game 4-1 for this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Razorbacks faced the Georgia Bulldogs and took a loss by a score of 37-0. K.J. Jefferson went 8/13 with 65 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rate of 103.5 and ended the game without throwing an interception. AJ Green was the leader on the ground for the Razorbacks with 6 carries for 28 yds (4.7 yds per carry). The Arkansas Razorbacks ran the ball 29 different times and compiled 75 yards, which is an average of 2.6 yds per carry. In the game, they ran 45 plays which converted into 162 yds. Arkansas conceded 7 completions on 11 tries for a total of 72 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.6%. On the ground, the Razorbacks gave up 273 yards on 56 tries, which calculates to 4.9 yds per run allowed.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Arkansas Razorbacks hold an average of 28.6 points per game. As a team they hold an average of 224.8 yards via the ground game which ranks them 19th in the country. The Razorbacks have attained 2,087 total yards for the season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Arkansas has compiled 6 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns. Arkansas has amassed 95 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 49 penalties for 416 yds. They have turned the football over 2 times.

The Razorbacks are ranked 43rd in D-1 in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 19.0 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.0 yards per run and 153.0 rushing yards per contest for the year. Overall, they have allowed 765 rushing yards through 5 contests. Regarding yards via the pass, the Razorbacks have conceded 649 yards which ranks them 14th in the country. They are allowing 129.8 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 52.6%. Overall, they are giving up 282.8 yards/game which has them ranked 21st in the country. They have allowed 1 touchdown through the air as well as 9 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Rebels come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 for this season. In their last game, the Rebels walked away with a loss by a score of 42-21 when they played the Alabama Crimson Tide. Matt Corral (1 TD) walked away from the contest with 213 yds on 21/29 through the air while his quarterback rating was 145.5. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 7.3. Henry Parrish Jr. ran the football 11 times for 47 yds, finishing the game with 4.3 yds per attempt for Ole Miss. The Rebels finished the game with a total of 291 yards on 63 plays (4.6 yards per play). Ole Miss rushed the ball for 2.3 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 78 yds on 34 carries. Ole Miss conceded 50 running attempts for 210 yards (4.2 yds per carry). The Rebels pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 77.8%, surrendering 241 yards on 21 out of 27 through the air.

In terms of this team's ability to score points, the Rebels are sitting 5th in the nation with an average of 44.8 PPG. During the season to this point, the Rebels have a total of 1,223 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 305.8 passing yards per contest, ranking them 17th in college football. The Ole Miss Rebels average 549.3 yards per game, which has them ranked 3rd in D-1. The Ole Miss offense has compiled 380 yards of penalties on 43 infractions, which has them ranked 9th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards.

The Rebels are surrendering 26.0 PPG, which has them sitting 92nd in the country. Ole Miss has allowed a total of 618 rushing yards (154.5 yards per outing) in addition to 8 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. Overall, they have allowed 104 total points. They have allowed 6 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 216.8 yards per outing, which has them sitting 70th in D-1. The Rebels defense has participated in 292 plays, which has them ranked 35th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Razorbacks/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rebels -7

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