Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 10/16/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (+17.5)

Total/Over-Under: 57.5

The Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1) are hitting the road to Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday where they will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-2). Alabama opens this contest as 17.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 57.5.

The Alabama Crimson Tide head into this matchup 5-1 for this year. In their last game, the Crimson Tide took on the Texas A&M Aggies and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 41-38. Brian Robinson Jr. led the offense in rushing for the Crimson Tide with 24 carries for 147 yds (6.1 yards per attempt). Bryce Young went 28/48 with 369 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 139.4 and ended the game with 1 pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Crimson Tide conceded 94 yds on 27 attempts, which is 3.5 yds per run allowed. Alabama conceded 21 pass completions on 31 attempts for 285 yds, and a completion rate of 67.7%. On the day, they had 82 plays which gave them 522 yards. The Alabama Crimson Tide ended up rushing 34 times and tallied 153 yds, which had them averaging 4.5 yds per attempt.

The Crimson Tide have tallied 2,835 total yards this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Alabama has earned 21 touchdowns through the air and 9 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 5 times. Alabama has accrued 144 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 48 infractions for 445 yds. As a unit they hold an average of 161.7 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 69th in college football. Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Alabama Crimson Tide hold an average of 44.3 points per game.

The Crimson Tide are sitting in 52nd in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 22.0 points per game. The opposition is running for an average of 3.1 yards per run and 106.0 rushing yards per game this year. In total, they have given up 636 yards via the ground game in 6 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Crimson Tide are conceding 1,169 yards which puts them in 61st in the nation. They have allowed 194.8 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 64.2%. During this campaign, they are surrendering 300.8 yards per contest ranking them 26th in the nation. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 7 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Bulldogs head into this matchup 3-2 for this season. In their last game, the Bulldogs went home victorious with a score of 26-22 against the Texas A&M Aggies. Will Rogers (3 touchdowns) ended the contest with 408 yards on 46/59 passing while his QB rating was 152.8. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his Y/A was 6.9. Dillon Johnson carried the ball 6 times for 19 yds, finishing the game with 3.2 yds per attempt for Mississippi State. Mississippi State ran for 1.8 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 30 yards on 17 carries. The Bulldogs finished the game with a total of 438 yds on 76 plays (5.8 yards per play). The Bulldogs passing defense gave up a completion rate of 60.0%, relinquishing 135 yds on 12 out of 20 passing. Mississippi State gave up 32 run attempts for 162 yds (5.1 yards per rush).

The Mississippi State Bulldogs maintain an average of 428.6 yards per contest, which has them ranked 51st in Division 1. The Mississippi State offense has compiled 320 penalty yds on 43 violations, which ranks them 27th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. During this campaign to this point, the Bulldogs have thrown for a total of 1,862 yards through the air as well as an average of 372.4 passing yards per game, which ranks 5th in the country. When discussing their ability to score points, the Bulldogs currently sit 77th in Division 1 with 27.8 points per contest.

Mississippi State has surrendered a total of 447 yards on the ground (89.4 yards per outing) as well as 2 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have conceded 10 touchdowns from the passing game and 229.0 yards per game, which has them sitting 81st in college football. The Bulldogs defense has participated in 297 plays, which is 16th in Division 1. The Bulldogs are giving up 25.0 points per game, which has them 82nd in the country. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 125 pts.

Who will win tonight's Crimson Tide/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Crimson Tide -17.5

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