Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 10/2/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: FS2

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (+10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

Dreamstyle Stadium is the site where the New Mexico Lobos (2-2) will meet the Air Force Falcons (3-1) on Saturday. Air Force opens this game as 10.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 48.5.

The Air Force Falcons head into this game 3-1 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Falcons took on the Florida Atlantic Owls and notched a win by a score of 31-7. Haaziq Daniels went 2/4 with 70 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 197.0 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Haaziq Daniels was the leader on the ground for the Falcons with 17 carries for 164 yards (9.6 yards per carry). The Air Force Falcons ran the ball 73 different times and accounted for 446 yds, which earned them an average of 6.1 yds per carry. In all, they had 78 plays which totaled 516 yards. Air Force surrendered 11 completions on 33 tries for 78 yards, and a completion rate of 33.3%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Falcons gave up 141 yards on 20 tries, which is an average of 7.1 yards per rush allowed.

The Falcons have earned 1,780 total yards this season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Air Force has totaled 1 touchdown through the air and 17 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 2 times. Air Force has compiled 85 first downs, and they have committed 18 penalties for 128 yards. As a team they're holding an average of 357.3 yards on the ground which is 1st in college football. Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Air Force Falcons hold an average of 33.5 points per outing.

Regarding passing yards, the Falcons have conceded 801 yards which ranks them 62nd in college football. They have conceded 200.3 yards per outing via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 51.8%. During the season, they have yielded 300.5 yards per game which puts them 41st in Division 1. They have yielded 6 touchdowns via the pass as well as 4 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing an average of 3.5 yards per rushing attempt and 100.3 rushing yards per contest for the campaign. For the season, they have allowed 401 running yards through 4 games. The Falcons rank 46th in D-1 concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 18.3 points per game.

Get all of our College Football Expert Picks

The Lobos head into this game 2-2 for this year. In their last game, the Lobos walked away with a loss by a score of 20-13 when they played the UTEP Miners. Terry Wilson ended the contest with 160 yds on 16/38 through the air while his QB rating was 72.2. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.2. Bobby Cole ran the ball 11 times for 25 yards, finishing the contest with 2.3 yards per attempt for New Mexico. The Lobos finished the contest with a total of 288 yards and they ran 74 plays (3.9 yards per play). New Mexico rushed the ball for 3.5 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 123 yards on 35 carries. New Mexico conceded 33 running attempts for 51 yds (1.5 yds per rush). The Lobos passing defense conceded a completion rate of 51.7%, surrendering 293 yds on 15 out of 29 passing.

When looking at their ability to score points, the Lobos rank 115th in D-1 by tallying 18.5 points per game. During the season so far, the Lobos have earned 758 yards through the air as well as an average of 189.5 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 101st in the country. The New Mexico Lobos hold an average of 319.3 yards per game, which is good for 116th in the country. The New Mexico offense has compiled 210 penalty yards on 27 infractions, which has them ranked 51st in the country in terms of helping out the other team.

New Mexico has surrendered a total of 305 rushing yards (76.3 yards/game) in addition to 2 touchdowns on the ground for the year. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns through the air and 250.0 yards per outing, which puts them in 109th in Division 1. The Lobos defense has taken the field for 267 plays, which ranks 75th in the country. The Lobos are relinquishing 24.0 PPG, which puts them 85th in the country. This year, they have given up 96 points.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Lobos +10.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here