Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, 9/11/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen

Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Midshipmen (+6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 41

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium is the location where the Navy Midshipmen (0-1) will take on the Air Force Falcons (1-0) on Saturday. Air Force is 6.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 41.

The Air Force Falcons head into this matchup 1-0 for this season. In their last contest, the Falcons faced off with the Lafayette Leopards and took home the win by a score of 35-14. Brad Roberts was the leader on the ground for the Falcons with 25 carries for 111 yards (4.4 yds per carry). Haaziq Daniels went 3/5 with 50 yds through the air. He had a QB rating of 144.0 and walked away from the game without throwing a pick. Against the rush, the Falcons gave up 44 yards on 23 tries, which is an average of 1.9 yds per rush allowed. Air Force gave up 18 completions on 29 tries for 243 yds, and a completion rate of 62.1%. Once the final whistle blew, they had 72 plays which gave them 420 yds. The Air Force Falcons ended up rushing 67 times and accumulated 370 yards, which is an average of 5.5 yds per carry.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Air Force Falcons are sitting at 35.0 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 370.0 yards on the ground ranking this team at 2nd in Division 1. The Falcons have tallied 420 yards in total for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Air Force has amassed 0 touchdowns via the pass and 5 touchdowns via the ground. Air Force has accumulated 24 1st downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 5 infractions for 45 yards.

The Falcons sit in 47th in college football when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 14.0 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 1.9 yards per tote and 44.0 rushing yards per game so far this year. During the season, they have given up 44 yards via the running game in 1 contest. Concerning yards via the pass, the Falcons are allowing 243 yds which ranks them 90th in college football. They have surrendered 243.0 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 62.1%. For the year, they are allowing 287.0 yards per game ranking them 51st in college football.

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The Midshipmen come into this matchup with a record of 0-1 this season. The last time they took the field, the Midshipmen took a loss by a final score of 49-7 against the Marshall Thundering Herd. Maasai Maynor finished the game with 27 yards on 2/6 passing while his QB rate was 71.1. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 4.5. Xavier Arline ran the ball 16 times for 76 yds, finishing the game with 4.8 yards per carry for Navy. Navy rushed the ball for 4.5 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 337 yards on 75 carries. The Midshipmen finished the contest with 398 yards while they ran 91 plays (4.4 yards per play). The Midshipmen passing defense gave up a completion rate of 63.6%, relinquishing 363 yards on 21 out of 33 passing. Navy surrendered 30 rush attempts for 101 yds (3.4 yards per rush).

The Navy Midshipmen have an average of 398.0 yards per contest, ranking them 65th in the country. The Navy offense has totaled 22 yards of penalties on 4 infractions, which has them sitting 106th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. During this campaign to this point, the Midshipmen have thrown for 61 passing yards, which ranks 129th in college football. Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Midshipmen are ranking 121st in the nation maintaining an average of 7.0 PPG.

The Midshipmen are giving up 49.0 points per game, which has them sitting 139th in the nation. Navy has allowed a total of 101 yards rushing. They have yielded 1 touchdown via the pass and 363.0 yards per outing, which puts them in 134th in the nation. The Midshipmen defense has taken the field for 63 plays, which has them ranked 66th in the country.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Midshipmen +6.5

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