Air Force Falcons vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 10/16/2021 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021

Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The Air Force Falcons (5-1) are headed to Albertsons Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Boise State Broncos (3-3). Air Force opens this matchup as 4.5-point dogs. The total is 51.

The Air Force Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 5-1 for this year. In their last contest, the Falcons played against the Wyoming Cowboys and took home the win by a score of 24-14. Haaziq Daniels finished 7/10 with 110 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 195.4 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Brad Roberts was the rushing leader for the Falcons with 33 attempts for 140 yards (4.2 yards per carry). The Air Force Falcons rushed the ball a total of 64 times and totaled 211 yds, earning them an average of 3.3 yards per tote. In all, they ran 74 plays which gave them 321 yds. Air Force allowed 11 pass completions on 28 attempts for 143 yards, and a completion percentage of 39.3%. On the ground, the Falcons gave up 114 yards on 27 tries, which averages out to 4.2 yards per rush surrendered.

Concerning scoring, the Air Force Falcons have an average of 32.7 points per game. As a team they hold an average of 341.3 yards in the run game which is 1st in D-1. The Falcons have racked up 2,542 total yards this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Air Force has amassed 2 touchdowns through the air and 24 rushing touchdowns. Air Force has accrued 129 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 25 penalties for 188 yds. They have turned the ball over 3 times.

Regarding passing yards, the Falcons have conceded 1,123 yards which has them ranked 51st in the nation. They have allowed 187.2 yards per contest via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 51.0%. Overall, they have yielded 280.8 yards per outing which puts them 22nd in the nation. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns by air and 5 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per rushing attempt and 93.7 rushing yards per contest for the season. In total, they have conceded 562 yards via the running game in 6 games. The Falcons are sitting in 24th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 16.2 points per contest.

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The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 3-3 this season. For their last game, the Broncos got the victory with a final of 26-17 when they played the BYU Cougars. Hank Bachmeier walked away from the contest with 172 yds on 18/29 through the air while his quarterback rating was 111.9. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 5.9. Cyrus Habibi-Likio carried the ball 18 times for 75 yds, ending the game with 4.2 yards per attempt for Boise State. Boise State ran the ball for 3.1 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 140 yards on 45 attempts. The Broncos finished the game with 312 yds while running 74 plays (4.2 yds per play). The Broncos passing defense conceded a completion rate of 59.5%, surrendering 302 yds on 22 out of 37 passing. Boise State allowed 27 rushing attempts for 111 yds (4.1 yds per rush).

The Boise State Broncos are averaging 374.0 yards/game, which is good for 87th in Division 1. The Boise State offense has 287 yds of penalties on 29 infractions, which ranks 104th in the country in terms of hurting your team. Over the course of the season to this point, the Broncos currently sit at 1,692 passing yards along with an average of 282.0 passing yards per game, which is ranked 30th in the nation. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Broncos currently rank 49th in D-1 by scoring 31.5 points per game.

The Broncos are relinquishing 21.8 points per contest, which puts them 50th in the nation. Boise State has allowed a total of 1,081 yards rushing (180.2 yards per game) as well as 8 touchdowns rushing this year. In total, they have conceded 131 pts. They have conceded 7 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 234.2 yards per outing, which puts them in 87th in college football. The Broncos defense has taken the field for 425 plays, which is good for 115th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Broncos college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons +4.5

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