Troy Trojans vs MTSU Blue Raiders Prediction, 9/19/2020 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs MTSU Blue Raiders

Date: Saturday, September 19, 2020

Location: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Troy (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 64

Gunnar Watson and the Troy Trojans go to Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the MTSU Blue Raiders. Troy opens this contest as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 64.

In the last game they played in 2019, the Troy Trojans went up against the Appalachian State Mountaineers and went home in defeat by a score of 48-13. Jamontez Woods led the team on the ground for that contest. His longest run of the day went for 12 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for a total of 22 yards via 4 carries which had him averaging 5.5 yards per carry. Reggie Todd led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 82 yards on 5 catches. He notched an average of 16.4 yards per reception for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Trojans was Kaleb Barker who went 24/41 with 281 yards by way of the pass but didn't get a passing TD in this game. He walked away with 1 pick on the day.

The Trojans head into this matchup after finishing 5-7 last year. They were a team that had one of the most potent offenses in the Sun Belt and they had the ability to run the score up on teams. For total yardage, they sat in 6th in the Sun Belt and 45th in D-1 with 5,501 yards. They were one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 33.8 points per contest, which had them at 25th in D-1. As a team, they averaged 145.3 rushing yards per game which was 8th in the Sun Belt.

The Trojans had one of the most lackluster defenses in the country allowing 34.8 points per contest, which had them at 8th in the Sun Belt and 116th in the nation. When it comes to passing yards, the Trojans conceded 3,758 yards. Opponents completed 66.5% of the throws they attempted against them and averaged 8.4 yards per try. When talking about rushing yards, Troy allowed 157.8 yards per game ranking them 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference and 65th in D-1. They allowed teams to run for an average of 4.2 yards per carry putting them 3rd in the Sun Belt and 64th in the nation overall. Overall, they allowed 1,894 yards rushing through 12 contests.

Last week the MTSU Blue Raiders went up against the Army Black Knights and added a loss to their record by a score of 42-0. Chaton Mobley led the team on the ground for that contest. He had a long run of 21 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He rushed for a total of 27 yards via 5 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.4 yards per tote. Jarrin Pierce was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 33 yards on 4 receptions. He earned an average of 8.3 yards per catch for that contest. Chase Cunningham went 7/10 with 63 yards via the pass but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He ended the game without an interception.

The Blue Raiders step onto the field after holding a record of 4-8 in 2019. MTSU made teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 172.5 yards per game, putting them 53rd in college football. As a unit, they compiled a total of 2,070 yards rushing through 12 games, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Blue Raiders averaged 408.9 yards per contest overall which had them at 58th in college football and 5th in Conference USA. In discussing their scoring prowess, the Blue Raiders ranked 7th in the conference and 85th out of all the teams in the nation with an average of 26.3 points per contest.

The Blue Raiders conceded 29.9 points per contest ranking them 10th in C-USA and 80th in Division 1. When talking about points allowed, they allowed 359 total points. In discussing rushing yards, they surrendered 194 yards per contest ranking them 100th in the nation and 11th in the conference. For the 2019 season, they conceded 2,328 rushing yards. Their passing defense was one of the middling units in the country. They gave up 265.3 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Blue Raiders sat in 14th in Conference USA.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Blue Raiders NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Raiders +4.5

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