North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 11/7/2020 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Saturday, November 7, 2020

Location: Wallace Wade Stadium

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: North Carolina (-9)

Total/Over-Under: 64

Sam Howell and the North Carolina Tar Heels (4-2) go to Wallace Wade Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Duke Blue Devils (2-5). The odds on this matchup have North Carolina as 9-point favorites. The over/under opens at 64.

The last time they took the field, the North Carolina Tar Heels faced the Virginia Cavaliers and were on the losing end of this game by a score of 44-41. Sam Howell went 23/28 with 443 yards through the air and threw 4 touchdowns. He ended the game without an interception. Michael Carter paced the team on the ground for that game. His longest run of the day went for 38 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for a total of 64 yards via 9 carries which meant he was running for 7.1 yards per carry. Dyami Brown was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 240 yards on 11 catches. He notched an average of 21.8 yards per reception for that game.

When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the North Carolina Tar Heels are sitting at 38.3 points per game. As a unit they're averaging 223.0 yards in the run game which is 13th in the nation. The Tar Heels have earned 3,192 total yards over the course of this season. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, North Carolina has compiled 14 touchdowns via the pass and 16 touchdowns on the ground. The Tar Heels rank 62nd in the country in terms of team defense, allowing 28.2 points per contest. The opposition is running for 4.1 yards per run and 142.2 rushing yards per game this year. During the season, they have allowed 853 yards on the ground through 6 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Tar Heels have given up 1,439 yds which has them ranked 84th in D-1. During their 6 games played, they are conceding 239.8 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 55.3%. For the year, they are conceding 382.0 yards/contest which puts them 56th in Division 1.

Sam Howell has connected on 377 of his career 598 throws for a completion percentage of 63.0%. He is averaging 288.8 yards per game. For his career, Howell has thrown for 5,487 yds with 52 TD's and 11 picks. He has a quarterback rating of 165.1 with a TD rate of 8.7% and an interception percentage of 1.8%. Since his collegiate career started, he has left the pocket to run 143 different times for a total of 52 yds.

In their last game, the Duke Blue Devils took on the Charlotte 49ers and left there with a win by a score of 53-19. Mataeo Durant paced the team on the ground in this outing. He had a long run of 60 yards and he ran for 2 touchdowns in this outing. He scurried for 104 yards on 12 carries which meant he averaged 8.7 yards per run. Jalon Calhoun led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 36 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 9.0 yards per catch in this outing. Chase Brice went 8/14 with 106 yards via the pass and added 1 touchdown. He walked away from this game with no interceptions.

When looking at how much they score, the Blue Devils rank 69th in Division 1 with an average of 25.9 PPG. During the season so far, the Blue Devils have thrown for a total of 1,632 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 233.1 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 52nd in the country. They have an average of 167.1 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,170 yards in total. The Duke Blue Devils have an average of 400.3 yards/outing which has them sitting 55th in D-1. The Blue Devils are surrendering 29.0 PPG, which has them sitting 65th in D-1. In total, they have surrendered 203 points in total. Duke has conceded a total of 1,097 yards via the ground game (156.7 yards per outing) in addition to 13 touchdowns rushing on the campaign. They have given up 11 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 236.3 yards/outing, which has them ranked 65th in Division 1.

During the 30 games in his college career, Chase Brice has completed 217 of his 382 tries for 2,582 yards. He averages 86.1 passing yards per game with a 119.6 quarterback rating. Brice has passed for 16 touchdowns while giving up 15 interceptions in his collegiate career. He has taken off and run for 279 yds on 87 tries. His touchdown rate on pass attempts is 4.2% and his interception percentage is 3.9%.

Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Blue Devils college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tar Heels -9

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