Navy Midshipmen vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 10/31/2020 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Navy Midshipmen vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, October 31, 2020

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Navy (+16)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

Shane Buechele and the SMU Mustangs (5-1) play the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday, October 31, 2020. Navy opens this matchup as 16-point dogs. The O/U opens at 58.5.

In their last game, the Navy Midshipmen went up against the Houston Cougars and were on the losing end of this game by a score of 37-21. Dalen Morris went 10/18 with 206 yards by way of passing and tossed 2 touchdowns. He tossed 1 interception for the contest. Nelson Smith paced the team in rushing in this game. His longest run of the day went for 21 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for a total of 51 yards via 11 carries which meant he averaged 4.6 yards per run. Ryan Mitchell led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 94 yards on 2 catches. He earned an average of 47.0 yards per catch in this game.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Navy Midshipmen have an average of 19.3 points per outing. As a team they are averaging 186.5 yards in the run game ranking them 31st in D-1. The Midshipmen have earned 1,730 total yards this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Navy has compiled 4 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns. The Midshipmen rank 87th in the nation in terms of team defense, giving up 34.7 points per game. They are allowing 5.7 yards per run and 242.5 rushing yards per contest this year. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,455 yards via the running game in 6 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Midshipmen have conceded 1,107 yards which has them sitting in 69th in the nation. During their 6 games, they have surrendered 184.5 yards per game via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 61.3%. In total, they have surrendered 427.0 yards per contest which ranks them 77th in Division 1.

Dalen Morris has connected on 23 of his attempted career 39 throws for a completion percentage of 59.0%. He is passing for 48.8 yards per contest. For his career, Morris has thrown for a total of 439 yds with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He has a QB rating of 168.7 with a TD rate of 7.7% and an interception rate of 5.1%. Since he has been in college, he has left the pocket to run 64 different times totaling 96 yards.

The last time they played, the SMU Mustangs took on the Cincinnati Bearcats and added a loss to their record by a score of 42-13. Ulysses Bentley IV led the team on the ground for that contest. He tore off a long run of 13 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for a total of 40 yards on 16 carries which meant he was running for 2.5 yards per tote. Kylen Granson was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 68 yards on 4 receptions. He earned an average of 17.0 yards per catch for that contest. Shane Buechele went 23/44 with 216 yards by way of passing and completed 1 TD. He tossed 1 interception for the game.

During this campaign to this point, the Mustangs have compiled 2,011 passing yards not to mention an average of 335.2 throwing yards per contest, putting them at 13th in the nation. The SMU Mustangs have an average of 517.7 yards per contest which is good for 11th in D-1. They maintain an average of 182.5 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,095 yards overall. When discussing their ability to score points, the Mustangs are ranking 21st in the country maintaining an average of 37.7 points per outing. SMU has given up a total of 1,165 yards on the ground (194.2 yards/game) as well as 12 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. The Mustangs are giving up 28.2 points per contest, which has them 62nd in D-1. In total, they have given up 169 points in total. They have surrendered 10 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 218.5 yards per game, which puts them in 51st in college football.

Buechele has thrown 77 TD's while tossing 29 picks in his career. His touchdown rate on pass attempts is 5.7% and his interception rate is 2.1%. He has rushed for 425 yards on 268 attempts. He averages 249.8 yds per contest through the air with a 142.1 quarterback rating. In 42 games in his collegiate career, Shane Buechele has been successful on 852 of his 1,358 attempts for 10,491 yards.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Midshipmen +16

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