Navy Midshipmen vs East Carolina Pirates Prediction, 10/17/2020 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Navy Midshipmen vs East Carolina Pirates

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2020

Location: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Navy (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 61

Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium is the venue where Holton Ahlers and the East Carolina Pirates (1-2) will play the Navy Midshipmen (2-2) on Saturday. Navy opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 61.

In the last game they played, the Navy Midshipmen took the field against the Temple Owls and went home with the win by a score of 31-29. Dalen Morris went 2/2 with 48 yards via the pass but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Nelson Smith paced the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 26 yards and he tallied 2 TD's in this contest. He racked up a total of 120 yards via 20 carries which had him averaging 6.0 yards per carry. CJ Williams was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 36 yards on 2 receptions. He had an average of 18.0 yards per catch for the game.

The Midshipmen have racked up 1,042 total yards this season. As a unit they're holding an average of 166.8 yards rushing which has them sitting 41st in college football. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Navy has totaled 2 touchdowns through the air and 6 touchdowns via the ground. In terms of putting points on the board, the Navy Midshipmen are sitting at 17.0 points per outing. In terms of passing yards, the Midshipmen have allowed 669 yards which has them ranked 34th in the nation. For the year, they have yielded 442.5 yards per contest which has them ranked 65th in the country. The Midshipmen rank 79th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 37.0 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 6.2 yards per rush and 275.3 rushing yards per game for the year. During their 4 games, they have yielded 167.3 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 59.6%. Overall, they have given up 1,101 yards via the running game in 4 games.

For his career, Morris has thrown for a total of 203 yards with 1 TD and 0 interceptions. Since his collegiate career started, he has taken off and run 35 different times for a total of 45 yards. His quarterback rating is 178.5 with a TD rate of 5.9% and an interception percentage of 0.0%. He is passing for 29.0 yards per outing. Dalen Morris has connected on 10 of his attempted career 17 tosses for a completion percentage of 58.8%.

In their last contest, the East Carolina Pirates faced the USF Bulls and earned the win by a score of 44-24. Rahjai Harris led the team in rushing for that game. He broke a long run for 42 yards and he tallied 2 touchdowns for this game. He ran for a total of 115 yards by way of 19 carries which meant he was running for 6.1 yards per carry. C.J. Johnson was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 99 yards on 3 catches. He had an average of 33 yards per catch for that game. Holton Ahlers went 17/26 with 222 yards by way of passing and tossed 3 TD's. He finished the game without throwing an interception.

For the season so far, the Pirates have earned 673 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 224.3 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 47th in college football. The East Carolina Pirates have an average of 392.3 yards/game which ranks them 51st in D-1. They maintain an average of 168.0 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 504 yards for the season. Concerning how much they score, the Pirates rank 28th in college football by scoring 33.7 points per outing. The Pirates are conceding 41.3 points per game, which has them ranked 84th in the country. Overall, they have conceded 124 points in total. East Carolina has yielded a total of 563 rushing yards (187.7 yards/game) in addition to 8 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 317.3 yards per outing, ranking them 81st in D-1.

Ahlers has thrown 39 touchdowns compared to 17 picks in his career. His touchdown percentage when attempting a pass is 4.8% and his interception percentage is 2.1%. He has taken off and run for 1,028 yds on 251 attempts. He averages 233.8 yds per game through the air with a 128.0 quarterback rating. In the 25 games in his college career, Holton Ahlers has completed 451 of 810 attempts for 5,845 yards.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Pirates college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates +2.5

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