Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 11/28/2020 College Football Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels
Date: Saturday, November 28, 2020
Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
TV: SEC Network
Odds/Point Spread: Mississippi State (+11.5)
Total/Over-Under: 65.5
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium is the site where Matt Corral and the Ole Miss Rebels (3-4) will play the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-5) on Saturday. Mississippi State opens this game as 11.5-point dogs. The total has been set at 65.5.
In their last contest, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took the field against the Georgia Bulldogs and added a loss to their record by a score of 31-24. Will Rogers went 41/52 with 336 yards by way of the pass and completed 1 touchdown. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Dillon Johnson led the team on the ground for that game. His longest run of the day went for 7 yards and he added 2 touchdowns in this game. He ran for 19 yards via 8 carries which had him averaging 2.4 yards per tote. Jaden Walley was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 115 yards on 7 catches. He had an average of 16.4 yards per reception for that game.
Concerning scoring, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have an average of 17.4 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 21.6 yards on the ground ranking this team at 127th in college football. The Bulldogs have earned 2,306 yards in total this year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Mississippi State has earned 9 touchdowns via the pass and 5 rushing touchdowns. The Bulldogs rank 68th in college football in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 28.0 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.2 yards per attempt on the ground and 110.1 rushing yards per game for the season. In total, they have allowed 771 rushing yards through 7 games. When it comes to passing yardage, the Bulldogs are allowing 1,797 yds which has them ranked 99th in the country. During their 7 games played, they are giving up 256.7 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 64.3%. In total, they have relinquished 366.9 yards per outing which has them ranked 51st in college football.
For his career, Rogers has passed for a total of 872 yards with 3 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Since his collegiate career started, he has left the pocket to run 8 times totaling -47 yds. He has a QB rating of 118.5 with a TD percentage of 1.8% and an interception percentage of 2.4%. He is throwing for 174.4 yds per contest. Will Rogers has connected on 124 of his career 168 passes for a completion percentage of 73.8%.
In the last game they played, the Ole Miss Rebels played the South Carolina Gamecocks and notched a win by a score of 59-42. Jerrion Ealy paced the team on the ground in this game. His longest run of the day went for 39 yards and he tallied 2 TD's for this game. He rushed for 84 yards on 17 carries which meant he averaged 4.9 yards per run. Elijah Moore led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 225 yards on 13 receptions. He had an average of 17.3 yards per reception in this game. Matt Corral went 28/32 with 513 yards by way of passing and added 4 touchdowns. He ended the game with no interceptions.
Over the course of the season so far, the Rebels have thrown for a total of 2,465 yards via the pass as well as an average of 352.1 throwing yards per game, which is ranked 7th in college football. The Ole Miss Rebels hold an average of 565.4 yards per game which ranks them 3rd in college football. They maintain an average of 213.3 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,493 yards for the year. In terms of this team's ability to score points, the Rebels are 13th in the nation by scoring 41.0 PPG. The Rebels are giving up 40.9 PPG, which puts them 136th in Division 1. This year, they have allowed 286 total points. Ole Miss has conceded a total of 1,704 yards on the ground (243.4 yards per game) in addition to 24 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns through the air as well as 292.1 yards per outing, which has them sitting 128th in college football.
In 21 contests in his career, Matt Corral has been successful on 283 of his 419 attempts for 3,960 yds. He is averaging 188.6 yards per game through the air with a 164.4 QB rating. Corral has thrown 30 touchdowns while giving up 13 picks in his career. He has run for 519 yds on 147 attempts. His TD rate when attempting a pass is 7.2% and his interception percentage is 3.1%.
Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Rebels college football game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +11.5
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Additional Resources:
Ole Miss Rebels - Twitter
Mississippi State Bulldogs - Twitter