2019 Wisconsin Badgers College Football Odds and Expert Betting Picks

2018 Record: 8-5

2019 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 8.0

2019 Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: 'Over'

Wisconsin just continues to plug along as one of the best college football programs in the country. They have averaged 10 wins (to just three losses) over the course of the past 10 years and, once again, enter the fall as an afterthought even in their own backyard despite making it to the Big Ten title game three times in the past 10 years.

Maybe its because the Badgers haven't won any of those Big Ten title games, but they continue to float along at the top of college football's second tier. And as much as I would love for this season to be different, it doesn't look like this year's team is going to be the one to break through for them into the College Football Playoff stage.

That doesn't mean that Wisconsin is going to be a pushover. They won't be. All of the hype entering the season is being heaped on resurgent Nebraska. But the Badgers are still the biggest kid on the Big Ten West block, and Paul Chryst has gone 42-12 over the last four seasons.

The Badgers went 20-8 against the spread in 2016 and 2017 before falling to 4-9 ATS last year. That could mean that this team is a bit underrated headed into the season.

First team All-American running back Jonathan Taylor is coming off one of the quietest 2,200-yard rushing seasons in college football history. He will be running behind a refurbished offensive line and will try to pick up the slack while the Badgers figure out their quarterback logjam.

Defensively, this is a young group. They have just two senior starters on that side of the ball. Last year they finished in the Top 35 in both scoring defense and total defense. We will see if the six sophomore starters projected for this season can maintain that level.

For a team that has averaged 10 wins over the last decade, this season win total may seem low. That is because the Badgers have one of the toughest schedules in the Big Ten. They have to take on Ohio State, Michigan and Michigan State out of the East. That is on top of trying to hold off Nebraska and Minnesota, both of whom the Badgers have to face on the road.

The good news for Wisconsin is that after an opening night game at South Florida they don't have to leave Camp Randall until late October.

The bad news is that four of their final six games are on the road.

Even with their brutal schedule, it is tough to find four losses on this schedule and damn near impossible to find five (which would put them 'under'). Last year was the first time in a decade that the Badgers failed to win eight regular-season games. It was just the second time that's happened in 15 years. I don't see it happening two years in a row. I'll happily take the 'over'.

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