2019 Texas Tech Red Raiders College Football Odds and Expert Betting Picks

2018 Record: 5-7

2019 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 6.5

2019 Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: 'Under'

Last year, I mused about how much more rope the Texas Tech athletic department would give Kliff Kingsbury. The answer was apparently, "not much".

I predicted an easy 'under' winner on this shoddy program in 2018. Kingsbury was then fired (as predicted), only to fail himself upward by stealing an NFL head coaching slot.

Now Texas Tech finds itself rebuilding. And not just a little bit. They are shifting away from the Air Raid-style foundation of the Kingsbury and Mike Leach years and adopting a more well-rounded, somewhat traditional style under new head coach Matt Wells.

This reconstruction reminds me a bit of what Baylor endured two years ago following the end of the Art Briles regime. It should be noted that the Bears went 1-11 in the first year of their rebuild.

However, this year's Texas Tech squad has more talent and experience than that 2017 Baylor team. They have 13 returning starters, 12 senior starters, seven three-year starters and a solid quarterback in Alan Bowman. The Red Raiders also welcome back their top three rushers, three of their top five receivers, and four starting offensive linemen.

This year's season will be defined by how much the team can improve on defense. They lost six of their top 12 players on that side of the ball and are experiencing a massive schematic shift on that side of the ball.

Tech has finished below .500 for three straight seasons despite routinely playing one of the nation's easiest nonconference schedules. That's due in large part to the fact that they are just 9-18 in Big 12 play the last three seasons, with more than half of the wins coming against lightweights Kansas and Baylor. They are 1-17 straight up against Top 25 teams over the last five years and 8-10 against the spread in those games.

Despite their constant failings, the Red Raiders were competitive in league play last year, including a blowout win at Oklahoma State and a near-miss versus Oklahoma.

They once again have what I would call a manageable schedule. They open with layups against Montana State and UTEP before a key game at Arizona. There are no off Saturday in the Big 12 (except Kansas), and the Red Raiders have winnable home games against Oklahoma State, Iowa State, TCU and Kansas State.

I will still play this team 'under'. There is too much uncertainty with the new coaching staff. I like Wells and I think he'll get things going here. But the Raiders have five league road games and that trip to Arizona. I think asking for three wins out of that group is a lot, and I can't see them going 5-1 at home under a new coach. I think Wells will win enough to get this team to a bowl game, but I would have to play this team 'under'.

Robert Ferringo has been the top football handicapper in the country the past nine years, earning nearly $40,000 in total football profit. He has also posted 7 of 9 winning seasons (including three straight winning years) and produced an amazing 50 of 76 winning football months over the past 12 years. Robert has eight of 10 winning NFL preseasons and he is at nearly 60 percent winners over his last 1,000 totals picks. Also, Robert's proprietary KING College Football Betting System has posted three of five winning seasons. Robert is looking for a fourth straight winning football year and wants more profit this fall. SIGN UP HERE TODAY AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OUR 3-FOR-1 FOOTBALL SPECIALS!

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