Western Michigan at Toledo NCAA Football Picks 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Glass Bowl

Mitchell Guadagni and the Toledo Rockets host the Western Michigan Broncos at the Glass Bowl on Saturday, October 5, 2019. Western Michigan opens this matchup as 3.5-point underdogs. The Broncos are 2-2-0 ATS and 2-2-0 when betting on the total. The Rockets are 2-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-2-0 against the spread.

Key Western Michigan Broncos Injuries

09/29/19 TE Brett Borske Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Toledo
09/29/19 DL Ken Aguirre Foot is questionable Saturday vs Toledo
09/27/19 WR Tyron Arnett Redshirt is out for season
09/25/19 WR D'Wayne Eskridge Collarbone is out for season

Key Toledo Rockets Injuries

08/06/19 OL Bryce Harris Knee is out for season

In their last contest, the Western Michigan Broncos played the Central Michigan Chippewas and won 31-15. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Broncos was Jon Wassink who went 18/29 with 244 yards passing and added 1 touchdown. He gave away 1 interception on the day. LeVante Bellamy paced the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 21 yards and he tallied 1 touchdown for the contest. He ran for 105 yards via 25 carries which gave him an average of 4.2 yards per carry. Skyy Moore was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 67 yards on 4 catches. He earned an average of 16.8 yards per catch for the game. The Western Michigan Broncos ran the football 37 times and added 188 yards which had them averaging 5.1 yards per attempt. On the day, they finished with a total of 66 plays which gave them a total of 432 yards. Overall, the Broncos earned 22 1st downs and they had 15 infractions for 167 yards which is telling in terms of discipline. In terms of defense, Western Michigan allowed 33 catches on 48 attempts for a total of 330 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.8%. Against the run, the Broncos allowed 107 yards on 32 attempts giving the other team an average of 3.3 yards per carry allowed. In the game, they conceded 437 yards and earned 3 takeaways.

The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 3-2 for this season. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 37.2 points per contest, putting them 27th in college football. As a unit, they have an average of 199.2 yards on the ground per contest which is 3rd in the MAC. For total yards, they rank 1st in the MAC and 9th in college football with 2,493 yards. The Broncos have one of the middle tier defenses in Division 1, allowing 28.2 points per contest which has them at 2nd in the Mid-American Conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Broncos have conceded 1,497 yards. Teams are completing 66.1% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.9 yards per attempt. In regard to yards rushing, Western Michigan is allowing 190.8 yards per contest ranking them 7th in the Mid-American Conference and 106th in the country. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.9 yards per rush ranking them 8th in the conference and 108th in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 954 yards rushing through 5 contests.

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In their last game, the Toledo Rockets took on the BYU Cougars and earned the victory by a score of 28-21. Shakif Seymour paced the team on the ground in the game. He tore off a long run of 23 yards and he tallied 1 TD for the game. He scurried for 96 yards by way of 19 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.1 yards per run. Desmond Phillips led the team in receiving yardage by earning 64 yards on 5 receptions. He earned an average of 12.8 yards per catch in the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Rockets was Mitchell Guadagni who went 17/28 with 206 yards passing and added 1 TD. He tossed 1 pick in the game. The Toledo Rockets ran the football 56 times and earned a total of 242 yards giving them an average of 4.3 yards per rush. For the game, the Rockets racked up a total of 27 1st downs and they totaled 3 penalties for 33 yards which tells us that they had a disciplined week in practice. In all, they ran 84 plays which added up to 448 yards. In terms of defense, Toledo gave up 25 catches on 44 tries totaling 354 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.8%. Overall, they gave up 455 yards and forced 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Rockets gave up 101 yards on 26 attempts which gave them an average of 3.9 yards per run allowed.

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The Rockets step onto the field holding a record of 3-1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Rockets have one of the most prolific offenses in D-1. Toledo has made teams game plan around their running game by averaging 262.3 rushing yards per contest, ranking them 9th in the country. As a team, they have a total of 1,049 rushing yards through 4 games, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Rockets average 470 yards per game overall which has them at 25th in the country and 3rd in the Mid-American Conference. The Rockets are conceding 23.5 points per game ranking them 1st in the conference and 51st in D-1. Their passing defense is one of the least effective units in the nation. They are giving up 300.8 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Rockets sit in 12th in the MAC. When talking about points allowed, they have allowed 94 points in total. When talking about yards on the ground, they are giving up 174.8 yards per contest which puts them at 95th in college football and 6th in the MAC. For the 2019 season, they have given up 699 yards on the ground and 7.2 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Rockets college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Broncos +3.5

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