Western Michigan vs NIU Expert College Football Picks 11/26/2019

Game: Western Michigan Broncos vs NIU Huskies

Date: Tuesday, November 26, 2019

Week 14

Location: Huskie Stadium in DeKalb, IL

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: NIU +6.5

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

Huskie Stadium is the site where Marcus Childers and the NIU Huskies will take on the Western Michigan Broncos on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Western Michigan as 6.5-point favorites. The Broncos are 6-5-0 ATS and 4-6-1 when betting on the total. The Huskies are 7-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 6-5-0 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the Western Michigan Broncos faced the Ohio Bobcats and earned the victory by a score of 37-34. LeVante Bellamy led the team in rushing in the game. His longest run of the day went for 20 yards and he added 1 TD for the game. He rushed for 72 yards on 28 carries which had him averaging 2.6 yards per carry. Skyy Moore led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 162 yards on 4 receptions. He earned an average of 40.5 yards per reception in the game. Leading the way at QB for the Broncos was Jon Wassink who went 23/34 with 322 yards passing and added 3 TD's. He walked away with no picks. The Broncos ran the football 49 times and earned a total of 155 yards earning them an average of 3.2 yards per rush. On the day, they ran 83 plays which gave them a total of 477 yards. For the contest, the Broncos got 24 first downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 28 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. When it comes to their defensive performance, Western Michigan conceded 20 catches on 29 attempts for a total of 225 yards, and a completion percentage of 69.0%. On the ground, the Broncos conceded 216 yards on 35 attempts which gave them an average of 6.2 yards per attempt allowed. In the game, they allowed a total of 441 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

The Broncos head into this matchup 7-4 for the 2019 season. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 36 points per contest, which has them at 16th in D-1. As a unit, they have an average of 217.2 yards on the ground per game which is 3rd in the conference. For total yardage, they sit in 1st in the Mid-American Conference and 17th in D-1 with 5,139 yards. The Broncos have one of the middle tier defenses in the country, allowing 27 points per game putting them 2nd in the MAC. In terms of yards rushing, Western Michigan is allowing 189.2 yards per game which has them at 5th in the conference and 94th in Division 1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.9 yards per carry which has them at 7th in the conference and 106th in the country overall. Overall, they have conceded 2,081 yards rushing through 11 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Broncos have allowed 2,750 yards. Opponents are completing 67.2% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.2 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the NIU Huskies went up against the Eastern Michigan Eagles and were defeated 45-17. Running the show from under center for the Huskies was Marcus Childers who went 12/26 with 99 yards passing and added 1 TD. He threw 3 interceptions in the game. Tre Harbison paced the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 11 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for a total of 112 yards on 30 carries which means he ran for an average of 3.7 yards per run. Mitchell Brinkman was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 34 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 8.5 yards per catch for the game. The Huskies ran the football 48 times and racked up a total of 238 yards which earned them an average of 5.0 yards per rush. On the day, the Huskies got 21 first downs and they had a total of 7 infractions for 63 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. Overall, they totaled 74 plays which gave them a total of 337 yards. When discussing the defense, NIU conceded 20 completions on 24 attempts totaling 235 yards, and a completion percentage of 83.3%. On the ground, the Huskies conceded 193 yards on 30 carries which is an average of 6.4 yards per run allowed. For the game, they allowed a total of 428 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

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The Huskies come into this matchup with a record of 4-7. NIU needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 139 rushing yards per game, which has them at 97th in college football. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,529 rushing yards through 11 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Huskies average 368.8 yards per contest overall which has them at 99th in the nation and 9th in the MAC. The Huskies are giving up 29.5 points per contest which puts them at 6th in the Mid-American Conference and 81st in college football. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road groups in college football. They are giving up 210.7 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Huskies are currently ranked 5th in the conference. In regard to points given up, they have allowed 325 total points. In terms of yards on the ground, they are giving up 181.3 yards per contest which puts them at 85th in the country and 4th in the MAC. This season, they have allowed a total of 1,994 rushing yards and 23.1 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Huskies college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Huskies +6.5

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