Virginia vs Louisville NCAA Football Point Spread Picks 10/26/2019

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Cardinal Stadium

Evan Conley and the Louisville Cardinals play the Virginia Cavaliers at Cardinal Stadium on Saturday, October 26, 2019. The odds on this contest have Virginia as 2.5-point favorites. The Cavaliers are 3-3-1 ATS and 4-3-0 when betting on the total. The Cardinals are 3-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-3-0 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the Virginia Cavaliers played the Duke Blue Devils and earned the victory by a score of 48-14. Wayne Taulapapa led the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 31 yards and he added 2 TD's for the contest. He ran for 77 yards by way of 14 carries which had him averaging 5.5 yards per tote. Hasise Dubois led the team in receiving yardage by earning 62 yards on 4 catches. He notched an average of 15.5 yards per reception for the game. Running the show from under center for the Cavaliers was Bryce Perkins who went 13/26 with 141 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He walked away with 1 interception in the game. The Cavaliers ran the football 41 times and added 154 yards which earned them an average of 3.8 yards per rush. In the game, the Cavaliers racked up a total of 17 1st downs and they had a total of 2 infractions for 30 yards which means they were extremely disciplined in this game. Overall, they ran 69 plays for 307 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Virginia allowed 15 completions on 30 tries totaling 118 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. In the game, they conceded a total of 250 yards and forced 5 takeaways. Against the run, the Cavaliers allowed 132 yards on 41 carries which is an average of 3.2 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Cavaliers come into this matchup with a record of 5-2 for this season. For total yardage, they currently sit at 13th in the conference and 100th in the nation with 2,451 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 31.1 points per game, which has them at 51st in the nation. As a team, they have an average of 109.4 rushing yards per contest which is 14th in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The Cavaliers have one of the best defenses in the nation, giving up 19.7 points per game putting them 2nd in the ACC. When it comes to yards through the air, the Cavaliers have allowed 1,685 yards. Teams are completing 56.3% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.1 yards per attempt. In discussing yards rushing, Virginia is giving up 99 yards per game putting them 3rd in the ACC and 17th in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 2.9 yards per rush which has them at 3rd in the conference and 12th in the country overall. Overall, they have conceded 693 yards rushing through 7 contests.

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In their last game, the Louisville Cardinals played the Clemson Tigers and were defeated 45-10. Leading the way at QB for the Cardinals was Micale Cunningham who went 4/11 with 63 yards passing but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He tossed 1 pick on the day. Javian Hawkins led the team in rushing during the game. He tore off a long run of 25 yards and he added 1 TD for the game. He ran for 129 yards by way of 26 carries which had him averaging 5.0 yards per carry. Dez Fitzpatrick was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 63 yards on 3 catches. He notched an average of 21.0 yards per catch during the game. The Cardinals rushed the ball a total of 43 times and generated 156 yards which gave them an average of 3.6 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, they totaled 65 plays for 263 yards. On the day, the Cardinals racked up a total of 15 1st downs and they had 5 penalties for 40 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. When discussing the defense, Louisville allowed 22 catches on 33 tries for a total of 253 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. Against the run, the Cardinals allowed 298 yards on 37 attempts which gave them an average of 8.1 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For this contest, they gave up 551 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

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The Cardinals come into this game with a record of 4-3. Louisville is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 218.7 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 23rd in D-1. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,531 yards rushing through 7 games, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Cardinals average 458 yards per contest overall which has them at 25th in the country and 4th in the conference. The Cardinals are allowing 33.4 points per contest which puts them at 14th in the Atlantic Coast Conference and 109th in college football. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in D-1. They are conceding 263.1 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Cardinals are currently ranked 11th in the ACC. In regard to points given up, they have allowed 234 points in total. When it comes to yards on the ground, they are giving up 192.1 yards per contest which puts them at 99th in the country and 13th in the Atlantic Coast Conference. In 2019, they have given up 1,345 yards rushing and 14 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Cavaliers/Cardinals college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cavaliers -2.5

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