Virginia at Notre Dame NCAA Football Parlay 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Notre Dame Stadium

Ian Book and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish host the Virginia Cavaliers at Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday, September 28, 2019. Virginia opens this matchup as 11.5-point dogs. The Cavaliers are 2-1-1 ATS and 2-2-0 when betting on the total. The Fighting Irish are 1-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-1-0 against the spread.

Key Virginia Cavaliers Injuries

08/21/19 DB Darrius Bratton Knee is out for season

Key Notre Dame Fighting Irish Injuries

09/22/19 WR Braden Lenzy Concussion is questionable Saturday vs Virginia
09/22/19 RB Jahmir Smith Toe is questionable Saturday vs Virginia
09/05/19 WR Jafar Armstrong Groin is out 4-6 weeks
08/28/19 WR Kevin Austin Suspension is out indefinitely
08/19/19 WR Michael Young Collarbone is out indefinitely

In their last game, the Virginia Cavaliers played the Old Dominion Monarchs and earned the win by a score of 28-17. Leading the way at QB for the Cavaliers was Bryce Perkins who went 15/24 with 175 yards passing and tossed 1 touchdown. He ended the game with no interceptions. Bryce Perkins paced the team on the ground for that contest. He broke a long run for 15 yards and he ran for 1 touchdown for the game. He ran for 35 yards by way of 14 carries which means he ran for an average of 2.5 yards per carry. Joe Reed led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 40 yards on 4 receptions. He earned an average of 10.0 yards per catch for that contest. The Virginia Cavaliers ran the ball 29 times and earned a total of 69 yards which gave them an average of 2.4 yards per rushing attempt. For the contest, the Cavaliers earned 14 first downs and they totaled 7 penalties for 70 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In all, they ran 53 plays which gave them a total of 244 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Virginia allowed 16 completions on 26 attempts for a total of 206 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.5%. On the ground, the Cavaliers allowed 64 yards on 44 attempts giving the other team an average of 1.5 yards per attempt allowed. For this contest, they allowed 270 yards and forced 1 turnover.

The Cavaliers step onto the field holding a record of 4-0 in 2019. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 35.3 points per game, ranking them 41st in the country. As a unit, they have an average of 133.5 rushing yards per contest which is 13th in the ACC. For total yardage, they sit in 11th in the Atlantic Coast Conference and 66th in the country with 1,480 yards. The Cavaliers have one of the best defenses in the nation, giving up 18 points per game ranking them 3rd in the ACC. In discussing yards rushing, Virginia is allowing 75 yards per contest ranking them 2nd in the conference and 13th in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 2.2 yards per rush putting them 2nd in the conference and 9th in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have conceded 300 yards rushing through 4 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Cavaliers have allowed 946 yards. Teams are completing 54.7% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.4 yards per try.

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In their last outing, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish faced the Georgia Bulldogs and lost 23-17. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Fighting Irish was Ian Book who went 29/47 with 275 yards passing and tossed 2 touchdowns. He tossed 2 interceptions in the game. Tony Jones Jr. paced the team on the ground for the game. He had a long run of 6 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He racked up a total of 21 yards via 9 carries which gave him an average of 2.3 yards per run. Cole Kmet was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 108 yards on 9 catches. He had an average of 12.0 yards per catch for the game. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish ended up running the ball 14 times and racked up 46 yards earning them an average of 3.3 yards per run. Overall, they ran 61 plays for a total of 321 yards. For the contest, the Fighting Irish earned a total of 14 1st downs and they had a total of 12 penalties for 85 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. When discussing the defense, Notre Dame gave up 20 completions on 26 attempts totaling 187 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.9%. Against the run, the Fighting Irish gave up 154 yards on 31 carries giving the other team an average of 5.0 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For the game, they allowed 341 yards and earned 1 takeaway.

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The Fighting Irish head into this matchup 2-1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Fighting Irish have one of the best offenses in college football. Notre Dame hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 144.3 rushing yards per contest, which has them at 83rd in Division 1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 433 yards rushing through 3 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Fighting Irish average 445 yards per game overall which has them at 44th in college football and 1st among Independent teams. The Fighting Irish are giving up 18 points per game which puts them at 2nd among FBS Independent teams and 30th in D-1. Their passing defense is one of the top units in the country. They are conceding 157.3 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Fighting Irish currently sit at 1st among Independent teams. In regard to points given up, they have given up 54 points in total. In regard to yards rushing, they are conceding 208 yards per game which puts them at 114th in Division 1 and 2nd among Independent teams. For the 2019 season, they have conceded a total of 624 rushing yards and 5.1 rushing TDs.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Fighting Irish -11.5 and over the total points

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