Vanderbilt vs Florida NCAA Football Picks and Tips 11/9/2019

Saturday, November 9, 2019

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Deuce Wallace and the Vanderbilt Commodores head to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Florida Gators. Vanderbilt opens this contest as 25-point dogs. The Commodores are 1-7-0 ATS and 2-6-0 when betting on the total. The Gators are 3-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-4-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the Vanderbilt Commodores went up against the South Carolina Gamecocks and lost 24-7. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Commodores was Riley Neal who went 3/4 with 46 yards passing and added 1 touchdown. He walked away with no picks. Ke'Shawn Vaughn paced the team in rushing in the game. He broke a long run for 12 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for a total of 87 yards via 20 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.4 yards per carry. Cam Johnson was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 26 yards on 2 receptions. He had an average of 13.0 yards per catch in the game. The Commodores rushed the ball a total of 29 times and racked up 113 yards which earned them an average of 3.9 yards per rush. For the game, they ran 50 plays which added up to 189 yards. For the game, the Commodores racked up 12 first downs and they had 2 penalties for 20 yards telling us that this team was extremely focused in this game. When it comes to their defensive performance, Vanderbilt gave up 24 catches on 31 throws for a total of 235 yards, and a completion percentage of 77.4%. Against the run, the Commodores gave up 205 yards on 49 carries which is an average of 4.2 yards per carry allowed. For this contest, they allowed 440 yards and earned 1 takeaway.

The Commodores come into this game with a record of 2-6 for this year. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the country with an average of 17 points per contest, putting them 124th in the country. As a unit, they are averaging 126.5 yards on the ground per game which is 14th in the Southeastern Conference. For total yards, they sit in 14th in the conference and 117th in the country with 2,542 yards. The Commodores have one of the most lackluster defenses in D-1, giving up 32.4 points per game putting them 13th in the Southeastern Conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Commodores have allowed 1,530 yards. Opponents are completing 63.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 8.5 yards per try. When talking about yards on the ground, Vanderbilt is allowing 202.9 yards per game ranking them 13th in the SEC and 107th in D-1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.2 yards per carry which has them at 13th in the conference and 115th in college football overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,623 yards rushing through 8 games.

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In their last game, the Florida Gators faced the Georgia Bulldogs and were beaten 24-17. Lamical Perine paced the team on the ground during the game. His longest run of the day went for 9 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He rushed for a total of 31 yards via 7 carries which gave him an average of 4.4 yards per run. Freddie Swain was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 91 yards on 8 receptions. He had an average of 11.4 yards per catch during the game. Running the show from under center for the Gators was Kyle Trask who went 21/33 with 257 yards through the air and completed 2 TD's. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. The Gators ran the football 19 times and racked up a total of 21 yards earning them an average of 1.1 yards per run. Overall, the Gators totaled 18 1st downs and they had 6 infractions for 40 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. For the game, they ran 52 plays which gave them a total of 278 yards. In terms of defense, Florida conceded 20 catches on 30 tries totaling 279 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. For this contest, they gave up 398 yards but didn't get any takeaways. In the running game, the Gators conceded 119 yards on 37 attempts which is an average of 3.2 yards per run allowed.

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The Gators head into this game 7-2. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Gators have one of the top tier offenses in the country. Florida hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 129.2 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 104th in the nation. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,163 yards rushing through 9 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Gators average 404.2 yards per game overall ranking them 67th in college football and 10th in the Southeastern Conference. The Gators are allowing 16.7 points per contest ranking them 3rd in the conference and 11th in college football. In discussing points given up, they have given up 150 points in total. When talking about yards on the ground, they are conceding 127 yards per game which puts them at 32nd in D-1 and 4th in the conference. In 2019, they have conceded 1,143 rushing yards and 7.2 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre units in the country. They are allowing 204.7 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Gators currently sit at 6th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Commodores/Gators college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Commodores +25

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