Vanderbilt at Ole Miss NCAA Football Picks Against the Spread 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

John Rhys Plumlee and the Ole Miss Rebels host the Vanderbilt Commodores at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday, October 5, 2019. Vanderbilt opens this game as 7-point underdogs. The Commodores are 0-3-0 ATS and 2-1-0 when betting on the total. The Rebels are 2-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-3-0 against the spread.

Key Vanderbilt Commodores Injuries

09/29/19 DB Frank Coppet Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Mississippi
09/29/19 PK Riley Guay Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Mississippi
09/29/19 OL Saige Young Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Mississippi
09/29/19 DB Tae Daley Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Mississippi
09/29/19 DL Eddie Zinn-Turner Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Mississippi
09/18/19 WR Amir Abdur-Rahman Undisclosed is out for season
09/18/19 RB Jamauri Wakefield Leg is out for season

Key Ole Miss Rebels Injuries

09/29/19 QB Matt Corral Ribs is questionable Saturday vs Vanderbilt
09/12/19 LB Mohamed Sanogo Ankle is out indefinitely

In their last outing, the Vanderbilt Commodores went up against the NIU Huskies and won 24-18. Leading the way at QB for the Commodores was Riley Neal who went 21/28 with 189 yards through the air and added 1 TD. He ended the game without an interception. Ke'Shawn Vaughn led the team in rushing for the game. He tore off a long run of 39 yards and he added 1 TD for the contest. He ran for a total of 138 yards by way of 17 carries which meant he averaged 8.1 yards per run. Kalija Lipscomb led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 94 yards on 7 receptions. He had an average of 13.4 yards per reception for the game. The Vanderbilt Commodores ran the football 23 times and added 189 yards earning them an average of 8.2 yards per run. In all, they ran 51 plays which gave them a total of 378 yards. For the contest, the Commodores racked up a total of 16 first downs and they had a total of 9 penalties for 97 yards telling us that this team had an undisciplined week of practice. When it comes to their defensive performance, Vanderbilt gave up 17 catches on 32 attempts for a total of 280 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.1%. In the running game, the Commodores gave up 108 yards on 31 runs which gave the opponent an average of 3.5 yards per run allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 388 yards but didn't force any takeaways.

The Commodores head into this matchup 1-3 this year. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation averaging 23 points per contest, ranking them 101st in D-1. As a team, they are averaging 130.3 yards on the ground per game which is 14th in the Southeastern Conference. For total yardage, they sit in 13th in the Southeastern Conference and 101st in D-1 with 1,468 yards. The Commodores have one of the worst defenses in college football, allowing 39 points per game putting them 14th in the Southeastern Conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Commodores have conceded 947 yards. Teams are completing 63.4% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 9.4 yards per attempt. When talking about yards rushing, Vanderbilt is giving up 161.5 yards per game which has them at 13th in the conference and 84th in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.2 yards per rush which has them at 14th in the SEC and 116th in D-1 overall. In total, they have allowed 646 yards rushing through 4 games.

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The last time they played, the Ole Miss Rebels faced the Alabama Crimson Tide and took the loss by a score of 59-31. John Rhys Plumlee led the team in rushing during the game. He had a long run of 13 yards and he ran for 1 TD during the game. He ran for 109 yards on 25 carries which gave him an average of 4.4 yards per tote. Jonathan Mingo was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 74 yards on 3 receptions. He had an average of 24.7 yards per reception during the game. Running the show from under center for the Rebels was John Rhys Plumlee who went 10/28 with 141 yards passing and tossed 2 TD's. He threw 1 pick during the game. The Ole Miss Rebels ran the football 57 times and totaled 280 yards earning them an average of 4.9 yards per run. For the game, they totaled 87 plays which added up to 477 yards. On the day, the Rebels earned a total of 25 first downs and they had 9 infractions for 97 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. On the defensive side of the ball, Ole Miss gave up 26 completions on 37 throws totaling 418 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.3%. In the game, they conceded a total of 575 yards and forced 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Rebels gave up 157 yards on 29 tries which means they allowed 5.4 yards per attempt allowed.

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The Rebels head into this matchup 2-3. In discussing the offensive production, the Rebels have one of the average offenses in college football. Ole Miss has built a respectable ground game this year by averaging 198.8 rushing yards per game, ranking them 41st in Division 1. As a unit, they have a total of 994 rushing yards through 5 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Rebels average 423.4 yards per contest overall which has them at 57th in D-1 and 10th in the conference. The Rebels are giving up 29.6 points per game which puts them at 13th in the conference and 90th in D-1. In discussing points given up, they have given up 148 total points. When it comes to yards on the ground, they are giving up 107.2 yards per contest which puts them at 35th in D-1 and 6th in the conference. For the 2019 season, they have given up 536 yards on the ground and 5 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the least effective units in D-1. They are conceding 314.4 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Rebels sit in 13th in the SEC.

Who will win tonight's Commodores/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rebels -7

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