Utah State vs Air Force NCAA Football Game Picks 10/26/2019

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Falcon Stadium

Mike Schmidt and the Air Force Falcons play the Utah State Aggies at Falcon Stadium on Saturday, October 26, 2019. Utah State opens this game as 2.5-point underdogs. The Aggies are 4-2-0 ATS and 2-4-0 when betting on the total. The Falcons are 5-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Utah State Aggies took on the Nevada Wolf Pack and notched a win by a score of 36-10. Running the show from under center for the Aggies was Jordan Love who went 13/31 with 169 yards through the air and completed 1 TD. He threw 1 interception in the game. Gerold Bright paced the team on the ground for that game. He tore off a long run of 67 yards and he added 2 touchdowns for the contest. He racked up a total of 126 yards via 15 carries which gave him an average of 8.4 yards per run. Siaosi Mariner was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 53 yards on 2 catches. He notched an average of 26.5 yards per reception for that game. The Aggies ended up rushing 44 times and generated 244 yards giving them an average of 5.5 yards per carry. Overall, the Aggies earned a total of 22 1st downs and they had a total of 6 infractions for 52 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. In all, they ran 77 plays for a total of 418 yards. In terms of defense, Utah State allowed 17 completions on 38 throws for a total of 213 yards, and a completion percentage of 44.7%. In the running game, the Aggies allowed 113 yards on 35 attempts which means they had an average of 3.2 yards per run allowed. On the day, they conceded 326 yards and forced 2 takeaways.

The Aggies come into this matchup with a record of 4-2 this season. For total yardage, they currently sit at 11th in the conference and 112th in college football with 2,302 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 32.7 points per game, putting them 43rd in college football. As a team, they are averaging 142.8 rushing yards per game which is 8th in the conference. The Aggies have one of the average defenses in the nation, giving up 23 points per game which has them at 4th in the Mountain West. In terms of yards on the ground, Utah State is allowing 117.3 yards per contest ranking them 6th in the MWC and 29th in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.2 yards per rush ranking them 3rd in the conference and 22nd in the country overall. Overall, they have allowed 704 rushing yards through 6 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Aggies have conceded 1,445 yards. Opponents are completing 59% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.2 yards per try.

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In their last game, the Air Force Falcons played the Hawaii Warriors and ended up getting the victory by a score of 56-26. Mike Schmidt led the team in rushing for that game. He broke a long run for 61 yards and he tallied 3 TD's for the game. He rushed for 120 yards via 14 carries which had him averaging 8.6 yards per run. Geraud Sanders was the receiving yardage leader by earning 116 yards on 3 catches. He averaged 38.7 yards per reception for that game. Running the show from under center for the Falcons was Mike Schmidt who went 5/6 with 147 yards through the air and added 1 touchdown. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. The Falcons ran the football 50 times and earned 354 yards which had them averaging 7.1 yards per rush. In the game, the Falcons racked up a total of 22 first downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 55 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. Overall, they totaled 57 plays which added up to 523 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Air Force gave up 34 completions on 53 throws for a total of 404 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.2%. Against the run, the Falcons gave up 82 yards on 20 carries which is an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For the game, they conceded 486 yards and earned 2 turnovers.

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The Falcons come into this game with a record of 5-2. In discussing the offensive production, the Falcons have one of the best offenses in college football. Air Force has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 255.3 rushing yards per contest, putting them 8th in college football. As a unit, they have a total of 1,787 yards rushing through 7 games, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Falcons average 364.9 yards per contest overall putting them 96th in D-1 and 9th in the MWC. The Falcons are allowing 24 points per contest which puts them at 5th in the Mountain West and 50th in Division 1. Their passing defense is one of the most dominate units in Division 1. They are giving up 173.9 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Falcons are ranked 2nd in the conference. In regard to points given up, they have allowed 168 points in total. When it comes to yards rushing, they are conceding 92.4 yards per game ranking them 8th in college football and 2nd in the conference. For 2019, they have given up a total of 647 rushing yards and 9.1 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Falcons -2.5

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