Utah State vs New Mexico NCAA Football Picks Against the Spread 11/30/2019

Game: Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, November 30, 2019

Week 14

Location: Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: Facebook

Odds/Point Spread: New Mexico +14

Total/Over-Under: 63

Tevaka Tuioti and the New Mexico Lobos play the Utah State Aggies at Dreamstyle Stadium on Saturday, November 30, 2019. New Mexico opens this game as 14-point underdogs. The Aggies are 6-5-0 ATS and 5-6-0 when betting on the total. The Lobos are 5-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-7-0 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the Utah State Aggies played the Boise State Broncos and were beaten 56-21. Gerold Bright paced the team in rushing for that contest. His longest run of the day went for 14 yards and he added 1 touchdown for the game. He rushed for 44 yards on 10 carries which had him averaging 4.4 yards per tote. Siaosi Mariner was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 66 yards on 4 catches. He had an average of 16.5 yards per reception for that contest. Leading the way at QB for the Aggies was Jordan Love who went 21/36 with 229 yards passing and tossed 1 touchdown. He threw 1 interception in the game. The Aggies rushed the ball a total of 34 times and totaled 121 yards giving them an average of 3.6 yards per run. On the day, the Aggies got 20 1st downs and they totaled 8 penalties for 65 yards telling us that this team had an undisciplined week of practice. In the game, they finished with a total of 81 plays which added up to 428 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Utah State conceded 16 catches on 29 tries totaling 187 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.2%. Against the run, the Aggies conceded 297 yards on 46 tries which gave them an average of 6.5 yards per carry allowed. On the day, they conceded a total of 484 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover.

The Aggies head into this matchup 6-5 for the 2019 season. For total yards, they are currently ranked 5th in the Mountain West and 44th in D-1 with 4,770 yards. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country averaging 27.4 points per game, ranking them 78th in D-1. As a team, they have an average of 148.3 yards on the ground per contest which is 8th in the MWC. The Aggies have one of the average defenses in the nation, giving up 29.4 points per game which has them at 5th in the Mountain West. When talking about rushing yards, Utah State is giving up 191.2 yards per contest putting them 9th in the conference and 98th in the country. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.2 yards per carry which has them at 6th in the conference and 67th in the nation overall. Overall, they have allowed 2,103 yards rushing through 11 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Aggies have allowed 3,139 yards. Opponents are completing 58.5% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.5 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the New Mexico Lobos played the Air Force Falcons and took the loss by a score of 44-22. Leading the way at QB for the Lobos was Trae Hall who went 5/7 with 55 yards through the air and threw 2 TD's. He ended the game with no interceptions. Tevaka Tuioti paced the team in rushing during the game. He tore off a long run of 48 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He racked up a total of 79 yards via 8 carries which means he ran for an average of 9.9 yards per tote. Cedric Patterson III was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 29 yards on 2 catches. He had an average of 14.5 yards per catch during the game. The Lobos ran the football 43 times and added 268 yards which gave them an average of 6.2 yards per run. On the day, they finished with a total of 61 plays for a total of 358 yards. On the day, the Lobos earned 19 1st downs and they had a total of 3 infractions for 19 yards which means they were extremely disciplined in this game. On the defensive side of the ball, New Mexico gave up 9 catches on 10 attempts for a total of 327 yards, and a completion percentage of 90.0%. Overall, they gave up 540 yards and earned 1 turnover. In the running game, the Lobos gave up 213 yards on 45 attempts which gave them an average of 4.7 yards per carry allowed.

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The Lobos head into this game 2-9. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Lobos have one of the worst offenses in college football. New Mexico has made teams respect their running game by averaging 198.9 yards on the ground per contest, ranking them 33rd in Division 1. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 2,188 yards rushing through 11 games, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Lobos average 401.9 yards per game overall ranking them 71st in D-1 and 7th in the MWC. The Lobos are allowing 37.1 points per game ranking them 12th in the conference and 123rd in Division 1. When talking about points given up, they have allowed 408 total points. In discussing yards rushing, they are allowing 161.5 yards per contest ranking them 71st in college football and 6th in the conference. This season, they have given up 1,777 yards rushing and 19.8 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the least effective groups in Division 1. They are allowing 335 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Lobos are ranked 12th in the MWC.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Lobos +14

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