USF at Connecticut NCAA Football Pick and Parlay 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field

Rentschler Field is the site where Steven Krajewski and the Connecticut Huskies will play the USF Bulls on Saturday. USF opens this matchup as 12.5-point favorites. The Bulls are 2-1-0 ATS and 1-2-0 when betting on the total. The Huskies are 0-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-2-0 against the spread.

Key USF Bulls Injuries

09/29/19 QB Jordan McCloud Wrist left last game, is questionable Saturday vs Connecticut
09/29/19 LB Nico Sawtelle Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Connecticut

Key Connecticut Huskies Injuries

09/29/19 QB Mike Beaudry Shoulder is questionable Saturday vs South Florida
09/28/19 WR Donovan Williams Undisclosed is downgraded to out Saturday vs Central Florida
09/16/19 QB Micah Leon Shoulder is out for season

In their last game, the USF Bulls played the SMU Mustangs and ended up taking the loss by a score of 48-21. Jordan Cronkrite paced the team in rushing in the game. He had a long run of 6 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He racked up a total of 30 yards on 8 carries which gave him an average of 3.8 yards per carry. Mitchell Wilcox was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 77 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 19.3 yards per reception in the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Bulls was Blake Barnett who went 13/21 with 222 yards passing and tossed 3 touchdowns. He walked away with no picks. The USF Bulls ran the football 33 times and earned a total of 54 yards which had them averaging 1.6 yards per rush. Overall, they ran 73 plays which added up to 342 yards. For the contest, the Bulls earned a total of 22 first downs and they had a total of 12 penalties for 134 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. On the defensive side of the ball, USF gave up 24 completions on 29 throws for a total of 252 yards, and a completion percentage of 82.8%. Against the run, the Bulls gave up 245 yards on 48 attempts which gave them an average of 5.1 yards per run allowed. On the day, they gave up 497 yards and forced 2 turnovers.

The Bulls step onto the field holding a record of 1-3 this year. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the country with an average of 21.5 points per contest, putting them 109th in college football. As a team, they have an average of 98.3 yards on the ground per game which is 12th in the American Athletic Conference. For total yardage, they currently sit at 12th in the AAC and 123rd in college football with 1,222 yards. The Bulls have one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing 31.8 points per contest ranking them 10th in the AAC. When it comes to yards through the air, the Bulls have allowed 829 yards. Teams are completing 63.6% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.9 yards per try. When it comes to rushing yards, USF is giving up 188.8 yards per game ranking them 12th in the American Athletic Conference and 104th in the country. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.1 yards per carry putting them 8th in the conference and 67th in the country overall. Overall, they have allowed 755 yards rushing through 4 contests.

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In their last game, the Connecticut Huskies played the UCF Knights and were beaten 56-21. Kevin Mensah led the team on the ground for the game. He had a long run of 18 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for 123 yards via 23 carries which meant he was running for 5.3 yards per run. Cameron Ross led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 91 yards on 6 catches. He averaged 15.2 yards per catch for the game. Running the show from under center for the Huskies was Steven Krajewski who went 22/33 with 273 yards passing and added 3 touchdowns. He walked away with 1 interception on the day. The Connecticut Huskies rushed the ball a total of 40 times and earned a total of 145 yards which had them averaging 3.6 yards per rush. For the game, the Huskies racked up 24 1st downs and they had 7 infractions for 60 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. For the game, they finished with a total of 76 plays for 426 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Connecticut gave up 21 catches on 30 tries for a total of 377 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.0%. In the game, they conceded 607 yards and earned 1 takeaway. Against the run, the Huskies gave up 230 yards on 37 runs which gave them an average of 6.2 yards per carry allowed.

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The Huskies head into this matchup 1-3. Connecticut needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 110 rushing yards per game, which has them at 110th in the country. As a team, they have compiled a total of 440 yards rushing through 4 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Huskies average 312 yards per contest overall putting them 116th in the country and 11th in the conference. The Huskies are giving up 36.5 points per contest which puts them at 12th in the conference and 116th in D-1. In regard to points allowed, they have allowed 146 total points. In terms of yards rushing, they are allowing 161 yards per game ranking them 83rd in the country and 9th in the American Athletic Conference. This year, they have allowed a total of 644 yards on the ground and 6 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road groups in D-1. They are giving up 234.5 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Huskies are ranked 10th in the AAC.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Bulls -12.5 and under the total points

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