USF vs UCF NCAA Football Picks Against the Spread 11/29/2019

Game: USF Bulls vs UCF Knights

Date: Friday, November 29, 2019

Week 14

Location: Spectrum Stadium in Orlando, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: UCF -24.5

Total/Over-Under: 63

Jordan McCloud and the USF Bulls travel to Spectrum Stadium on Friday where they'll meet the UCF Knights. UCF opens this game as 24.5-point favorites. The Bulls are 6-5-0 ATS and 4-6-1 when betting on the total. The Knights are 6-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-7-0 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the USF Bulls played the Memphis Tigers and took the loss by a score of 49-10. Leading the way at QB for the Bulls was Jordan McCloud who went 5/14 with 45 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Kelley Joiner Jr. paced the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 47 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for a total of 115 yards via 13 carries which gave him an average of 8.8 yards per run. Eddie McDoom was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 40 yards on 2 catches. He earned an average of 20.0 yards per reception for the game. The Bulls ended up running the ball 31 times and racked up 126 yards which gave them an average of 4.1 yards per carry. For the game, the Bulls got 5 first downs and they had a total of 10 penalties for 60 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. In the game, they ran 50 plays for 170 yards. When discussing the defense, USF conceded 19 completions on 31 attempts for a total of 235 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.3%. Against the run, the Bulls conceded 353 yards on 57 tries which is an average of 6.2 yards per attempt allowed. In the game, they allowed 588 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

The Bulls come into this matchup with a record of 4-7 for the 2019 season. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation with an average of 22.1 points per contest, ranking them 107th in D-1. As a unit, they are averaging 164 rushing yards per game which is 8th in the AAC. For total yardage, they currently sit at 12th in the AAC and 112th in D-1 with 3,724 yards. The Bulls have one of the middle tier defenses in Division 1, giving up 28.5 points per game ranking them 7th in the conference. In discussing yards on the ground, USF is giving up 209.1 yards per game ranking them 11th in the AAC and 116th in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.4 yards per rush which has them at 7th in the American Athletic Conference and 74th in the country overall. Overall, they have allowed 2,300 yards rushing through 11 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Bulls have allowed 1,920 yards. Opponents are completing 62.8% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.9 yards per try.

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In their last game, the UCF Knights played the Tulane Green Wave and won by a score of 34-31. Leading the way at QB for the Knights was Dillon Gabriel who went 24/46 with 317 yards passing and completed 1 touchdown. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. Dillon Gabriel paced the team in rushing for that contest. He broke a long run for 11 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He racked up a total of 58 yards via 12 carries which had him averaging 4.8 yards per tote. Marlon Williams was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 119 yards on 9 catches. He averaged 13.2 yards per reception for that contest. The Knights ended up rushing 42 times and added 165 yards which earned them an average of 3.9 yards per carry. In the game, the Knights got 23 first downs and they had a total of 7 infractions for 40 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. For the game, they ran 89 plays for 484 yards. When discussing the defense, UCF gave up 13 completions on 27 throws for a total of 181 yards, and a completion percentage of 48.1%. For this contest, they gave up 402 yards but didn't get any takeaways. In the running game, the Knights gave up 221 yards on 55 runs which gave them an average of 4.0 yards per carry allowed.

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The Knights head into this matchup 8-3. In discussing the offensive production, the Knights have one of the best offenses in college football. UCF has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 215.2 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 25th in the country. As a team, they have a total of 2,367 yards rushing through 11 games, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Knights average 536.4 yards per game overall ranking them 4th in D-1 and 1st in the AAC. The Knights are allowing 24.3 points per contest which puts them at 4th in the AAC and 46th in college football. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in Division 1. They are giving up 207.5 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Knights are currently ranked 4th in the conference. In terms of points allowed, they have allowed 267 points in total. In discussing rushing yards, they are conceding 145.9 yards per contest ranking them 53rd in Division 1 and 3rd in the conference. For this season, they have given up a total of 1,605 yards rushing and 12.1 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Bulls/Knights college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Knights -24.5

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