USC vs Colorado Expert College Football Picks 10/25/2019

Friday, October 25, 2019

Folsom Field

Folsom Field is the site where Steven Montez and the Colorado Buffaloes will play the USC Trojans on Friday. Colorado opens this game as 11.5-point dogs. The Trojans are 4-3-0 ATS and 2-5-0 when betting on the total. The Buffaloes are 4-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-4-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the USC Trojans went up against the Arizona Wildcats and ended up getting the victory by a score of 41-14. Leading the way at QB for the Trojans was Kedon Slovis who went 19/28 with 232 yards passing and threw 2 TD's. He finished the game without throwing an interception. Kenan Christon paced the team in rushing during the game. He broke a long run for 55 yards and he notched 2 touchdowns in the game. He ran for a total of 103 yards via 8 carries which meant he was running for 12.9 yards per tote. Tyler Vaughns was the receiving yardage leader by earning 73 yards on 7 receptions. He notched an average of 10.4 yards per catch during the game. The Trojans ended up rushing 36 times and racked up 201 yards earning them an average of 5.6 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, the Trojans totaled 16 1st downs and they totaled 10 penalties for 100 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. Overall, they finished with a total of 66 plays which gave them a total of 448 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, USC allowed 22 completions on 37 attempts totaling 243 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.5%. Against the run, the Trojans allowed 142 yards on 38 carries which gave them an average of 3.7 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For this contest, they allowed 385 yards and earned 3 takeaways.

The Trojans come into this game with a record of 4-3 for this season. For total yards, they sit in 6th in the Pac-12 and 44th in college football with 3,021 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 30.7 points per game, putting them 55th in college football. As a team, they are averaging 151.1 yards on the ground per contest which is 8th in the Pac-12 Conference. The Trojans have one of the middle tier defenses in Division 1, allowing 24 points per game which has them at 6th in the Pac-12 Conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Trojans have allowed 1,963 yards. Opponents are completing 59.4% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.8 yards per try. In discussing yards rushing, USC is allowing 189.4 yards per game ranking them 11th in the conference and 97th in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.8 yards per rush ranking them 11th in the Pac-12 Conference and 99th in college football overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,326 yards rushing through 7 contests.

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In their last outing, the Colorado Buffaloes took on the Washington State Cougars and were defeated 41-10. Alex Fontenot led the team in rushing in the game. He tore off a long run of 25 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He ran for a total of 105 yards on 11 carries which had him averaging 9.5 yards per run. Laviska Shenault Jr. was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 46 yards on 4 receptions. He notched an average of 11.5 yards per reception in the game. Leading the way at QB for the Buffaloes was Steven Montez who went 16/30 with 129 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He tossed 2 interceptions during the game. The Buffaloes ended up rushing 36 times and totaled 179 yards which gave them an average of 5.0 yards per attempt. For the game, the Buffaloes racked up 18 1st downs and they had a total of 7 infractions for 55 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. In all, they ran 70 plays which gave them a total of 320 yards. In terms of defense, Colorado allowed 35 completions on 53 attempts for a total of 369 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.0%. On the ground, the Buffaloes allowed 128 yards on 20 tries which is an average of 6.4 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For the game, they conceded a total of 497 yards and earned 1 takeaway.

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The Buffaloes step onto the field holding a record of 3-4. Colorado needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 154.4 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 78th in D-1. As a team, they have a total of 1,081 yards rushing through 7 contests, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Buffaloes average 407.7 yards per contest overall which has them at 62nd in the nation and 8th in the Pac-12 Conference. The Buffaloes are giving up 34.9 points per contest which puts them at 12th in the Pac-12 Conference and 116th in the nation. When talking about points given up, they have given up 244 total points. When talking about yards on the ground, they are conceding 167.1 yards per contest ranking them 78th in D-1 and 9th in the conference. This season, they have allowed 1,170 yards rushing and 14 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the most anemic groups in the nation. They are allowing 316 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Buffaloes are currently ranked 12th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Buffaloes college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Buffaloes +11.5

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