UNLV vs Fresno State NCAA Football Point Spread Picks

Friday, October 18, 2019

Bulldog Stadium

Jorge Reyna and the Fresno State Bulldogs play the UNLV Runnin' Rebels at Bulldog Stadium on Friday, October 18, 2019. UNLV opens this game as 13.5-point underdogs. The Runnin' Rebels are 3-2-1 ATS and 2-4-0 when betting on the total. The Bulldogs are 3-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-3-1 against the spread.

In their last contest, the UNLV Runnin' Rebels played the Vanderbilt Commodores and won 34-10. Chad Magyar led the team on the ground for that contest. He broke a long run for 26 yards and he added 1 TD for the game. He ran for a total of 116 yards by way of 22 carries which meant he averaged 5.3 yards per tote. Randal Grimes was the receiving yardage leader by earning 76 yards on 3 catches. He averaged 25.3 yards per reception for that contest. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Runnin' Rebels was Kenyon Oblad who went 11/16 with 172 yards through the air and completed 2 touchdowns. He finished the game without throwing an interception. The Runnin' Rebels ended up rushing 53 times and earned a total of 206 yards which earned them an average of 3.9 yards per rush. On the day, the Runnin' Rebels racked up 21 first downs and they had a total of 3 infractions for 25 yards which tells us that we had a very focused team on our hands. For the game, they ran 69 plays which gave them a total of 378 yards. In terms of defense, UNLV gave up 16 catches on 41 attempts for a total of 140 yards, and a completion percentage of 39.0%. Against the run, the Runnin' Rebels gave up 166 yards on 22 runs which means they had an average of 7.5 yards per carry allowed. On the day, they gave up a total of 306 yards and forced 2 takeaways.

The Runnin' Rebels step onto the field holding a record of 2-4 for 2019. For total yardage, they sit in 8th in the conference and 94th in the nation with 2,213 yards. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country averaging 25.2 points per game, putting them 93rd in the nation. As a team, they are averaging 180.2 yards on the ground per contest which is 4th in the conference. The Runnin' Rebels have one of the worst defenses in the nation, allowing 32.8 points per game ranking them 9th in the MWC. When it comes to passing yards, the Runnin' Rebels have allowed 1,132 yards. Opponents are completing 52.8% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.9 yards per attempt. When it comes to yards rushing, UNLV is giving up 209.7 yards per game ranking them 10th in the MWC and 113th in D-1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.5 yards per rush which has them at 12th in the Mountain West and 121st in the country overall. Overall, they have conceded 1,258 yards rushing through 6 contests.

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In their last game, the Fresno State Bulldogs went up against the Air Force Falcons and took the defeat by a score of 43-24. Ronnie Rivers led the team in rushing for that contest. His longest run of the day went for 26 yards and he notched 1 touchdown in the game. He rushed for 45 yards via 9 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.0 yards per carry. Emoryie Edwards led the team in receiving yardage by earning 73 yards on 4 catches. He averaged 18.3 yards per reception for that contest. Leading the way at QB for the Bulldogs was Jorge Reyna who went 20/27 with 209 yards through the air and completed 2 TD's. He walked away with 1 interception in the game. The Bulldogs ended up rushing 15 times and earned a total of 59 yards giving them an average of 3.9 yards per rush. In the game, they finished with a total of 42 plays which gave them a total of 268 yards. For the contest, the Bulldogs earned 12 first downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 19 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In terms of defense, Fresno State conceded 2 catches on 3 tries for a total of 81 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. On the day, they conceded a total of 425 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover. On the ground, the Bulldogs conceded 344 yards on 67 attempts which is an average of 5.1 yards per attempt allowed.

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The Bulldogs head into this matchup 2-3. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Bulldogs have an offense that could be called mediocre in D-1. Fresno State hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 144 rushing yards per game, putting them 88th in Division 1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 720 rushing yards through 5 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Bulldogs average 386.4 yards per game overall which has them at 88th in D-1 and 8th in the Mountain West. The Bulldogs are conceding 29.8 points per contest which puts them at 6th in the MWC and 90th in college football. When talking about points given up, they have allowed 149 points in total. In terms of yards rushing, they are conceding 156.4 yards per contest ranking them 64th in the country and 8th in the conference. For this season, they have given up 782 yards rushing and 10 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the middle of the road units in the country. They are conceding 206 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Bulldogs currently sit at 4th in the Mountain West.

Who will win tonight's Runnin' Rebels/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Runnin' Rebels +13.5

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