UNLV vs Nevada NCAA Football Picks & Predictions 11/30/2019

Game: UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Saturday, November 30, 2019

Week 14

Location: MacKay Stadium in Reno, NV

TV: AT&T Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Nevada -7

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

Kenyon Oblad and the UNLV Runnin' Rebels are headed to MacKay Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Nevada Wolf Pack. The spread on this contest has Nevada as 7-point favorites. The Runnin' Rebels are 5-5-1 ATS and 4-7-0 when betting on the total. The Wolf Pack are 5-6-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-5-1 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the UNLV Runnin' Rebels faced the San Jose State Spartans and ended up getting the victory by a score of 38-35. Charles Williams paced the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 51 yards and he tallied 3 TD's in the game. He rushed for 186 yards via 27 carries which meant he was running for 6.9 yards per carry. Randal Grimes was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 130 yards on 6 receptions. He had an average of 21.7 yards per reception for the game. Running the show from under center for the Runnin' Rebels was Kenyon Oblad who went 21/36 with 203 yards passing and added 2 TD's. He threw 1 interception during the game. The Runnin' Rebels ended up running the ball 38 times and racked up 252 yards which gave them an average of 6.6 yards per carry. For the game, the Runnin' Rebels totaled 21 first downs and they had a total of 11 infractions for 76 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. Overall, they ran 74 plays which gave them a total of 455 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, UNLV allowed 37 completions on 56 throws for a total of 465 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.1%. Overall, they allowed a total of 564 yards and forced 5 takeaways. On the ground, the Runnin' Rebels allowed 99 yards on 21 attempts which gave them an average of 4.7 yards per carry allowed.

The Runnin' Rebels come into this game with a record of 3-8 for the 2019 season. For total yards, they sit in 9th in the conference and 98th in Division 1 with 4,082 yards. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country averaging 23.4 points per contest, ranking them 104th in Division 1. As a team, they are averaging 167 yards on the ground per game which is 5th in the Mountain West. The Runnin' Rebels have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, allowing 33.3 points per contest ranking them 10th in the Mountain West. In discussing rushing yards, UNLV is giving up 193.3 yards per contest putting them 10th in the Mountain West and 100th in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.3 yards per rush which has them at 11th in the MWC and 118th in D-1 overall. In total, they have conceded 2,126 yards rushing through 11 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Runnin' Rebels have conceded 2,245 yards. Teams are completing 59.1% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.6 yards per attempt.

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The last time they took the field, the Nevada Wolf Pack went up against the Fresno State Bulldogs and notched a win by a score of 35-28. Leading the way at QB for the Wolf Pack was Carson Strong who went 20/31 with 154 yards through the air and completed 3 touchdowns. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. Toa Taua paced the team on the ground for that game. He had a long run of 27 yards and he tallied 1 touchdown in the game. He rushed for 135 yards by way of 20 carries which means he ran for an average of 6.8 yards per run. Elijah Cooks was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 60 yards on 5 catches. He had an average of 12.0 yards per reception for that game. The Wolf Pack ran the football 34 times and totaled 254 yards which gave them an average of 7.5 yards per carry. In the game, they totaled 65 plays which gave them a total of 408 yards. For the game, the Wolf Pack got 18 first downs and they totaled 7 penalties for 50 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. When discussing the defense, Nevada conceded 28 catches on 38 throws totaling 278 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.7%. Overall, they gave up 331 yards and earned 1 takeaway. On the ground, the Wolf Pack conceded 53 yards on 25 tries which is an average of 2.1 yards per carry allowed.

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The Wolf Pack come into this matchup with a record of 7-4. Nevada needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 124.9 rushing yards per game, which has them at 114th in college football. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,374 yards rushing through 11 games, so they'll need to look to improve on these numbers if they want to compete with the better teams in the nation. The Wolf Pack average 351 yards per game overall putting them 106th in college football and 10th in the MWC. The Wolf Pack are conceding 32 points per contest which puts them at 9th in the conference and 101st in the country. In regard to points allowed, they have allowed 352 points in total. When it comes to yards rushing, they are conceding 135 yards per contest ranking them 36th in the country and 5th in the MWC. For the 2019 season, they have conceded 1,485 yards rushing and 14.3 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road units in the country. They are allowing 262.5 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Wolf Pack are currently ranked 10th in the Mountain West.

Who will win tonight's Runnin' Rebels/Wolf Pack college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Runnin' Rebels +7

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