UCF vs Tulane NCAA Football Point Spread Picks 11/23/2019

Game: UCF Knights vs Tulane Green Wave

Date: Saturday, November 23, 2019

Week 13

Location: Yulman Stadium in New Orleans, LA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Tulane +5.5

Total/Over-Under: 71

Yulman Stadium is the venue where Justin McMillan and the Tulane Green Wave will take on the UCF Knights on Saturday. The spread on this game has UCF as 5.5-point favorites. The Knights are 4-6-0 ATS and 6-4-0 when betting on the total. The Green Wave are 6-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 7-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the UCF Knights played the Tulsa Golden Hurricane and were defeated 34-31. Adrian Killins Jr. paced the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 57 yards and he ran for 1 touchdown for the game. He racked up a total of 95 yards via 10 carries which means he ran for an average of 9.5 yards per carry. Gabriel Davis was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 98 yards on 6 receptions. He earned an average of 16.3 yards per reception for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Knights was Dillon Gabriel who went 23/38 with 290 yards passing and added 1 touchdown. He tossed 2 interceptions in the game. The Knights ended up running the ball 46 times and earned a total of 167 yards giving them an average of 3.6 yards per run. For the game, they ran 84 plays for 457 yards. In the game, the Knights had a total of 21 first downs and they had a total of 15 penalties for 120 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. When it comes to their defensive performance, UCF gave up 16 catches on 24 throws for a total of 214 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. On the day, they allowed 353 yards but didn't get any takeaways. On the ground, the Knights gave up 139 yards on 55 runs which is an average of 2.5 yards per carry allowed.

The Knights come into this matchup with a record of 7-3 for 2019. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 44.8 points per contest, putting them 7th in the country. As a team, they have an average of 220.2 yards on the ground per game which is 3rd in the American Athletic Conference. For total yards, they are currently ranked 1st in the AAC and 5th in the country with 5,416 yards. The Knights have one of the middle tier defenses in Division 1, allowing 23.6 points per game which has them at 3rd in the American Athletic Conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Knights have conceded 3,214 yards. Teams are completing 54% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 5.8 yards per attempt. In terms of rushing yards, UCF is allowing 138.4 yards per game ranking them 3rd in the conference and 41st in the nation. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per carry which has them at 2nd in the conference and 19th in Division 1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,384 yards rushing through 10 games.

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In their last game, the Tulane Green Wave faced the Temple Owls and ended up taking the loss by a score of 29-21. Running the show from under center for the Green Wave was Justin McMillan who went 11/27 with 103 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He gave away 1 interception on the day. Justin McMillan paced the team in rushing during the game. His longest run of the day went for 15 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for a total of 64 yards via 17 carries which gave him an average of 3.8 yards per carry. Darnell Mooney led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 38 yards on 3 receptions. He notched an average of 12.7 yards per catch during the game. The Green Wave rushed the ball a total of 54 times and earned 203 yards which gave them an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt. For the game, they ran 84 plays which added up to 333 yards. For the contest, the Green Wave earned 22 1st downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 51 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. On the defensive side of the ball, Tulane conceded 26 completions on 44 throws totaling 297 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.1%. In the running game, the Green Wave conceded 109 yards on 24 runs which means they had an average of 4.5 yards per rushing attempt allowed. In the game, they gave up a total of 406 yards and forced 1 turnover.

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The Green Wave step onto the field holding a record of 6-4. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Green Wave have one of the most prolific offenses in D-1. Tulane has made teams game plan around their running game by averaging 255.4 rushing yards per game, putting them 11th in the nation. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 2,554 rushing yards through 10 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Green Wave average 459.5 yards per contest overall putting them 23rd in the country and 4th in the American Athletic Conference. The Green Wave are conceding 25.8 points per game which puts them at 5th in the AAC and 55th in the nation. In discussing points given up, they have allowed 258 points in total. In regard to rushing yards, they are giving up 161.7 yards per contest which puts them at 68th in D-1 and 6th in the AAC. For this season, they have allowed 1,617 yards on the ground and 13 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in college football. They are conceding 206.9 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Green Wave sit in 2nd in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Green Wave college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Knights -5.5

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