Tulane vs Navy NCAA Football Picks 10/26/2019

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Justin McMillan and the Tulane Green Wave go to Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium on Saturday where they'll take on the Navy Midshipmen. Tulane opens this game as 3.5-point dogs. The Green Wave are 5-2-0 ATS and 4-3-0 when betting on the total. The Midshipmen are 3-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-1-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Tulane Green Wave played the Memphis Tigers and lost 47-17. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Green Wave was Justin McMillan who went 15/28 with 187 yards passing and completed 1 touchdown. He threw 3 interceptions in the game. Justin McMillan led the team in rushing for that game. His longest run of the day went for 41 yards and he notched 1 TD for the game. He scurried for 89 yards on 15 carries which gave him an average of 5.9 yards per carry. Darnell Mooney was the receiving yardage leader by earning 65 yards on 5 catches. He had an average of 13.0 yards per reception for that game. The Green Wave ran the football 34 times and racked up 146 yards which gave them an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, the Green Wave totaled 19 first downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 69 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. For the game, they finished with a total of 63 plays which added up to 333 yards. In terms of defense, Tulane allowed 21 completions on 30 throws for a total of 358 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.0%. In the game, they conceded a total of 470 yards but didn't add to their total of forced turnovers. On the ground, the Green Wave allowed 112 yards on 34 runs which gave them an average of 3.3 yards per carry allowed.

The Green Wave head into this game 5-2 for this season. For total yardage, they currently sit at 3rd in the conference and 23rd in college football with 3,311 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 36 points per game, putting them 24th in college football. As a team, they are averaging 267.7 yards on the ground per contest which is 2nd in the American Athletic Conference. The Green Wave have one of the average defenses in college football, allowing 23.1 points per contest which has them at 6th in the AAC. In discussing yards rushing, Tulane is allowing 142 yards per contest which has them at 6th in the American Athletic Conference and 53rd in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4 yards per carry ranking them 7th in the conference and 54th in the nation overall. Overall, they have allowed 994 yards rushing through 7 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Green Wave have conceded 1,437 yards. Opponents are completing 53.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.6 yards per try.

In their last outing, the Navy Midshipmen took on the USF Bulls and earned the victory by a score of 35-3. Malcolm Perry led the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 67 yards and he tallied 2 TD's in the game. He racked up a total of 188 yards via 22 carries which meant he averaged 8.5 yards per run. OJ Davis was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 23 yards on 2 catches. He averaged 11.5 yards per catch for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Midshipmen was CJ Williams who went 1/1 with 23 yards passing and completed 1 TD. He walked away with no picks. The Midshipmen ended up running the ball 58 times and added 435 yards giving them an average of 7.5 yards per carry. For the contest, the Midshipmen had a total of 23 1st downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 45 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. For the game, they ran 62 plays for a total of 458 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Navy gave up 15 catches on 30 throws for a total of 114 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. For this contest, they conceded 264 yards and forced 1 takeaway. Against the run, the Midshipmen gave up 150 yards on 37 tries which gave them an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Midshipmen head into this matchup 5-1. In discussing the offensive production, the Midshipmen have one of the most prolific offenses in D-1. Navy has made teams game plan around their running game by averaging 345.3 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 1st in D-1. As a unit, they have a total of 2,072 yards rushing through 6 games, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Midshipmen average 438.3 yards per contest overall ranking them 39th in the country and 5th in the conference. The Midshipmen are conceding 16.2 points per contest which puts them at 1st in the AAC and 12th in the nation. Their passing defense is one of the most dominate groups in Division 1. They are giving up 185.8 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Midshipmen are ranked 3rd in the conference. When talking about points given up, they have given up 97 points in total. In terms of yards rushing, they are allowing 97.3 yards per game ranking them 16th in college football and 1st in the conference. This season, they have allowed 584 rushing yards and 6 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Green Wave/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Green Wave +3.5

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