Troy vs Texas State NCAA Football Pick and Parlay 11/16/2019

Saturday, November 16, 2019

Bobcat Stadium

Tyler Vitt and the Texas State Bobcats play the Troy Trojans at Bobcat Stadium on Saturday, November 16, 2019. Texas State opens this contest as 9-point dogs. The Trojans are 3-6-0 ATS and 6-3-0 when betting on the total. The Bobcats are 3-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-7-1 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the Troy Trojans took on the Georgia Southern Eagles and won 49-28. Running the show from under center for the Trojans was Kaleb Barker who went 27/41 with 330 yards through the air and added 3 touchdowns. He threw 1 pick in the game. DK Billingsley paced the team on the ground in the game. His longest run of the day went for 70 yards and he notched 2 touchdowns for the contest. He ran for 163 yards via 14 carries which meant he was running for 11.6 yards per carry. Kaylon Geiger led the team in receiving yardage by earning 110 yards on 7 receptions. He earned an average of 15.7 yards per reception in the game. The Trojans ran the football 32 times and earned a total of 273 yards earning them an average of 8.5 yards per rush. For the game, they ran 74 plays for 603 yards. In the game, the Trojans racked up a total of 27 1st downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 64 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. On the defensive side of the ball, Troy allowed 8 catches on 16 tries for a total of 181 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. On the day, they gave up a total of 333 yards but finished the game without a turnover. In the running game, the Trojans allowed 152 yards on 49 carries which gave them an average of 3.1 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Trojans head into this game 4-5 this year. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 36.3 points per contest, ranking them 22nd in the country. As a team, they have an average of 161 yards on the ground per game which is 7th in the Sun Belt. For total yards, they currently sit at 3rd in the conference and 24th in the country with 4,315 yards. The Trojans have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, allowing 32.1 points per contest putting them 7th in the Sun Belt Conference. When talking about yards on the ground, Troy is giving up 143.7 yards per game ranking them 1st in the Sun Belt and 50th in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.7 yards per rush putting them 1st in the conference and 35th in college football overall. Overall, they have allowed 1,293 yards rushing through 9 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Trojans have allowed 2,866 yards. Teams are completing 64% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 8.6 yards per try.

Related: Gambling 101 Series on How Odds are Calculated - Watch Tony George Explain

The last time they took the field, the Texas State Bobcats played the South Alabama Jaguars and won by a score of 30-28. Running the show from under center for the Bobcats was Tyler Vitt who went 23/33 with 373 yards passing and tossed 3 TD's. He tossed 1 interception in the game. Tyler Vitt paced the team in rushing for that contest. He broke a long run for 17 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for 42 yards via 11 carries which had him averaging 3.8 yards per tote. Hutch White was the receiving yardage leader by earning 165 yards on 10 receptions. He had an average of 16.5 yards per reception for that contest. The Bobcats rushed the ball a total of 32 times and racked up a total of 52 yards which earned them an average of 1.6 yards per rushing attempt. In all, they ran 65 plays which added up to 425 yards. Overall, the Bobcats racked up 21 1st downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 28 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. In terms of defense, Texas State allowed 13 catches on 17 attempts for a total of 164 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.5%. On the day, they gave up 348 yards but didn't force any takeaways. In the running game, the Bobcats allowed 184 yards on 51 tries which gave them an average of 3.6 yards per run allowed.

Related: Parlay Calculator

The Bobcats come into this matchup with a record of 3-6. Texas State hasn't done much to make teams fear their rushing game by averaging 76.3 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 128th in D-1. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 687 rushing yards through 9 games, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Bobcats average 318.9 yards per game overall ranking them 117th in Division 1 and 9th in the conference. The Bobcats are conceding 29.9 points per contest ranking them 4th in the conference and 84th in Division 1. When talking about points given up, they have given up 269 total points. When it comes to yards on the ground, they are allowing 221.7 yards per contest ranking them 123rd in Division 1 and 9th in the conference. For this year, they have allowed 1,995 yards rushing and 18.9 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the elite units in college football. They are giving up 186.4 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Bobcats sit in 2nd in the conference.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Trojans -9 and under the total points

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here