Troy vs Georgia State Expert College Football Picks 10/26/2019

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Georgia State Stadium

Dan Ellington and the Georgia State Panthers play the Troy Trojans at Georgia State Stadium on Saturday, October 26, 2019. The spread on this contest has Troy as 1-point favorites. The Trojans are 2-4-0 ATS and 3-3-0 when betting on the total. The Panthers are 4-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-1-2 against the spread.

In their last game, the Troy Trojans played the South Alabama Jaguars and won by a score of 37-13. DK Billingsley led the team in rushing for that contest. His longest run of the day went for 12 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He racked up a total of 100 yards on 20 carries which meant he averaged 5.0 yards per tote. Bret Clark was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 60 yards on 4 catches. He had an average of 15.0 yards per reception for that contest. Running the show from under center for the Trojans was Kaleb Barker who went 20/30 with 194 yards passing and threw 2 touchdowns. He threw 2 picks on the day. The Trojans rushed the ball a total of 51 times and racked up a total of 220 yards which had them averaging 4.3 yards per carry. For the contest, the Trojans got 28 1st downs and they totaled 5 infractions for 56 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. For the game, they totaled 82 plays for a total of 432 yards. When discussing the defense, Troy gave up 20 catches on 38 throws totaling 183 yards, and a completion percentage of 52.6%. For the game, they conceded 274 yards and forced 3 turnovers. In the running game, the Trojans gave up 91 yards on 34 carries which is an average of 2.7 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Trojans step onto the field holding a record of 3-3 for 2019. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 35 points per contest, which has them at 33rd in college football. As a team, they are averaging 160.8 yards on the ground per contest which is 7th in the Sun Belt Conference. For total yards, they sit in 6th in the Sun Belt and 79th in college football with 2,695 yards. The Trojans have one of the middle tier defenses in the country, giving up 28.8 points per game ranking them 5th in the Sun Belt. When it comes to yards through the air, the Trojans have allowed 1,730 yards. Opponents are completing 62.4% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 9.1 yards per attempt. In regard to yards on the ground, Troy is giving up 93.3 yards per game putting them 1st in the conference and 11th in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 2.8 yards per carry putting them 1st in the conference and 10th in D-1 overall. Overall, they have conceded 560 rushing yards through 6 games.

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In their last game, the Georgia State Panthers faced the Army Black Knights and ended up getting the victory by a score of 28-21. Tra Barnett led the team on the ground during the game. He broke a long run for 19 yards and he added 1 TD in the game. He scurried for 108 yards by way of 17 carries which means he ran for an average of 6.4 yards per carry. Cornelius McCoy was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 66 yards on 7 catches. He notched an average of 9.4 yards per catch during the game. Running the show from under center for the Panthers was Dan Ellington who went 20/28 with 232 yards passing and completed 3 touchdowns. He walked away with no picks. The Panthers ended up rushing 32 times and earned 147 yards giving them an average of 4.6 yards per attempt. In the game, they ran 60 plays which added up to 379 yards. On the day, the Panthers had a total of 23 first downs and they had a total of 1 penalty for 5 yards which tells us that we had a very focused team on our hands. In terms of defense, Georgia State gave up 6 completions on 11 tries totaling 65 yards, and a completion percentage of 54.5%. In the running game, the Panthers gave up 278 yards on 61 attempts which is an average of 4.6 yards per rushing attempt allowed. In the game, they gave up a total of 343 yards and earned 2 takeaways.

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The Panthers head into this game 5-2. Georgia State is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 238.3 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 14th in college football. As a team, they have a total of 1,668 yards rushing through 7 games, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Panthers average 464.3 yards per game overall ranking them 23rd in D-1 and 2nd in the Sun Belt Conference. The Panthers are conceding 35.1 points per game which puts them at 8th in the Sun Belt Conference and 117th in the country. In discussing points given up, they have allowed 246 total points. When it comes to yards rushing, they are allowing 211 yards per game which puts them at 116th in Division 1 and 7th in the conference. For 2019, they have conceded 1,477 rushing yards and 16.8 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in the nation. They are giving up 227.9 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Panthers are currently ranked 6th in the Sun Belt.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Panthers NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Panthers +1

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