Troy at Missouri NCAA Football Point Spread Picks 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field

Kelly Bryant and the Missouri Tigers play the Troy Trojans at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, October 5, 2019. Troy opens this game as 26-point underdogs. The Trojans are 1-2-0 ATS and 2-1-0 when betting on the total. The Tigers are 1-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-1-0 against the spread.

Key Troy Trojans Injuries

09/17/19 WR Demontrez Brown Achilles is out for season
09/16/19 RB B.J. Smith Knee is out for season

Key Missouri Tigers Injuries

09/29/19 DB Christian Holmes Thigh is questionable Saturday vs Troy
09/29/19 DL Trajan Jeffcoat Elbow is questionable Saturday vs Troy
09/10/19 DB Chris Mills Knee is out indefinitely
09/03/19 LB Aubrey Miller Jr, Knee is out indefinitely
08/16/19 TE Brendan Scales Foot is out indefinitely

The last time they played, the Troy Trojans took on the Arkansas State Red Wolves and took the loss by a score of 50-43. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Trojans was Kaleb Barker who went 34/57 with 367 yards passing and added 4 touchdowns. He tossed 1 pick in the game. DK Billingsley led the team in rushing in the game. His longest run of the day went for 43 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for a total of 103 yards via 20 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.2 yards per carry. Kaylon Geiger led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 111 yards on 8 catches. He earned an average of 13.9 yards per reception in the game. The Troy Trojans rushed the ball a total of 33 times and earned 145 yards which had them averaging 4.4 yards per carry. Overall, the Trojans racked up a total of 28 1st downs and they had a total of 5 infractions for 77 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In the game, they ran 91 plays which added up to 512 yards. When discussing the defense, Troy gave up 26 catches on 36 tries totaling 455 yards, and a completion percentage of 72.2%. On the ground, the Trojans gave up 103 yards on 34 carries which gave them an average of 3.0 yards per carry allowed. In the game, they conceded 558 yards and forced 4 takeaways.

The Trojans head into this matchup 2-2 for 2019. For total yardage, they are currently ranked 4th in the Sun Belt and 36th in college football with 2,052 yards. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 40.8 points per game, which has them at 16th in college football. As a unit, they have an average of 171 rushing yards per contest which is 8th in the conference. The Trojans have one of the middle tier defenses in the country, giving up 29.5 points per game ranking them 4th in the conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Trojans have allowed 1,368 yards. Opponents are completing 64.5% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 10.2 yards per attempt. When talking about rushing yards, Troy is allowing 76 yards per game ranking them 1st in the Sun Belt and 11th in Division 1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.3 yards per carry which has them at 1st in the Sun Belt and 10th in Division 1 overall. In total, they have conceded 304 yards rushing through 4 contests.

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The last time they played, the Missouri Tigers took on the South Carolina Gamecocks and won 34-14. Larry Rountree III led the team in rushing for the game. He tore off a long run of 15 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for a total of 88 yards by way of 23 carries which meant he was running for 3.8 yards per tote. Jonathan Nance was the receiving yardage leader by earning 60 yards on 4 receptions. He averaged 15.0 yards per reception for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Tigers was Kelly Bryant who went 19/33 with 227 yards through the air and completed 2 TD's. He tossed 1 pick during the game. The Missouri Tigers ran the ball 54 times and earned 194 yards earning them an average of 3.6 yards per rushing attempt. For the contest, the Tigers earned 26 first downs and they totaled 4 infractions for 37 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. On the day, they totaled 87 plays for 421 yards. In terms of defense, Missouri allowed 19 completions on 41 attempts totaling 255 yards, and a completion percentage of 46.3%. On the day, they gave up a total of 271 yards and earned 3 turnovers. On the ground, the Tigers allowed 16 yards on 24 tries allowing their opponent an average of 0.7 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Tigers come into this game with a record of 3-1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Tigers have one of the most prolific offenses in D-1. Missouri is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 199.8 rushing yards per contest, ranking them 39th in the country. As a unit, they have a total of 799 yards rushing through 4 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Tigers average 460.3 yards per game overall ranking them 27th in college football and 4th in the Southeastern Conference. The Tigers are conceding 14.5 points per game which puts them at 3rd in the conference and 12th in Division 1. When talking about points given up, they have allowed 58 points in total. When talking about yards rushing, they are conceding 95.8 yards per game ranking them 25th in the nation and 4th in the SEC. This season, they have conceded a total of 383 yards rushing and 4 rushing TDs. Their pass defense is one of the best units in the nation. They are giving up 135.5 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Tigers sit in 1st in the SEC.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Trojans +26

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