Toledo vs Bowling Green Picks Against the Spread

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Doyt Perry Stadium

Darius Wade and the Bowling Green Falcons play the Toledo Rockets at Doyt Perry Stadium on Saturday, October 12, 2019. Toledo opens this contest as 25-point favorites. The Rockets are 3-2-0 ATS and 2-3-0 when betting on the total. The Falcons are 1-4-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-4-0 against the spread.

Key Toledo Rockets Injuries

08/06/19 OL Bryce Harris Knee is out for season

Key Bowling Green Falcons Injuries

10/06/19 RB Andrew Clair Foot is questionable Saturday vs Toledo
09/07/19 QB Matt McDonald Eligibility is out for season

In the last game they played, the Toledo Rockets took on the Western Michigan Broncos and won 31-24. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Rockets was Mitchell Guadagni who went 14/22 with 200 yards passing and threw 2 TD's. He threw 1 interception in the game. Bryant Koback paced the team in rushing for that game. He broke a long run for 33 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He racked up a total of 177 yards via 21 carries which meant he was running for 8.4 yards per tote. Bryce Mitchell was the receiving yardage leader by earning 119 yards on 4 receptions. He earned an average of 29.8 yards per reception for that game. The Rockets ended up rushing 53 times and racked up 275 yards which gave them an average of 5.2 yards per rush. Overall, the Rockets racked up 26 first downs and they had a total of 6 penalties for 60 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. In all, they finished with a total of 75 plays for 475 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Toledo gave up 25 catches on 51 throws totaling 303 yards, and a completion percentage of 49.0%. On the ground, the Rockets gave up 117 yards on 29 carries giving the other team an average of 4.0 yards per carry allowed. In the game, they gave up a total of 420 yards and forced 1 turnover.

The Rockets come into this matchup with a record of 4-1 this season. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 33.8 points per contest, ranking them 39th in the nation. As a unit, they are averaging 264.8 rushing yards per game which is 1st in the MAC. For total yardage, they rank 3rd in the Mid-American Conference and 38th in the nation with 2,355 yards. The Rockets have one of the average defenses in college football, allowing 23.6 points per contest putting them 1st in the conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Rockets have allowed 1,031 yards. Opponents are completing 60.5% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.0 yards per try. In terms of rushing yards, Toledo is giving up 163.2 yards per game which has them at 4th in the MAC and 78th in Division 1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.8 yards per carry which has them at 6th in the Mid-American Conference and 101st in D-1 overall. In total, they have allowed 816 rushing yards through 5 games.

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The last time they played, the Bowling Green Falcons went up against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and lost 52-0. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Falcons was Grant Loy who went 13/25 with 106 yards through the air but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He walked away with 1 pick in the game. Davon Jones led the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 17 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for a total of 59 yards by way of 16 carries which means he ran for an average of 3.7 yards per run. Quintin Morris was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 92 yards on 10 receptions. He had an average of 9.2 yards per reception for the game. The Falcons ended up rushing 42 times and earned a total of 118 yards earning them an average of 2.8 yards per rush. In the game, the Falcons earned 14 first downs and they had a total of 6 penalties for 39 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. In the game, they totaled 69 plays which gave them a total of 228 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Bowling Green gave up 21 catches on 27 attempts for a total of 340 yards, and a completion percentage of 77.8%. In the running game, the Falcons gave up 233 yards on 34 runs which gave the opponent an average of 6.9 yards per attempt allowed. On the day, they allowed a total of 573 yards but didn't force any takeaways.

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The Falcons head into this matchup 1-4. Bowling Green has built a respectable ground game this year by averaging 157.4 rushing yards per game, which has them at 74th in D-1. As a team, they have a total of 787 rushing yards through 5 games, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Falcons average 329.4 yards per game overall putting them 117th in college football and 10th in the Mid-American Conference. The Falcons are allowing 40.8 points per game which puts them at 12th in the Mid-American Conference and 127th in D-1. Their pass defense is one of the middling groups in the country. They are allowing 250.2 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Falcons are currently ranked 7th in the conference. In discussing points given up, they have allowed 204 total points. When talking about rushing yards, they are conceding 223.2 yards per game which puts them at 122nd in the nation and 11th in the MAC. For this season, they have given up 1,116 yards rushing and 11 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +25

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