Toledo vs Central Michigan NCAA Football Picks & Predictions 11/29/2019

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Central Michigan Chippewas

Date: Friday, November 29, 2019

Week 14

Location: Kelly/Shorts Stadium in Mount Pleasant, MI

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Central Michigan -9.5

Total/Over-Under: 62.5

Quinten Dormady and the Central Michigan Chippewas play the Toledo Rockets at Kelly/Shorts Stadium on Friday, November 29, 2019. Central Michigan opens this contest as 9.5-point favorites. The Rockets are 4-7-0 ATS and 7-4-0 when betting on the total. The Chippewas are 9-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 8-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Toledo Rockets faced the Buffalo Bulls and ended up taking the loss by a score of 49-30. Bryant Koback led the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 36 yards and he notched 1 touchdown for the game. He rushed for a total of 99 yards by way of 17 carries which meant he averaged 5.8 yards per carry. Danzel McKinley-Lewis was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 88 yards on 4 receptions. He notched an average of 22.0 yards per catch for the game. Running the show from under center for the Rockets was Eli Peters who went 10/17 with 163 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He tossed 1 interception in the game. The Rockets ended up running the ball 35 times and generated 154 yards which had them averaging 4.4 yards per carry. For the contest, the Rockets racked up a total of 21 1st downs and they totaled 1 penalty for 8 yards telling us that this team was extremely focused in this game. In the game, they ran 69 plays which gave them a total of 402 yards. When discussing the defense, Toledo gave up 13 completions on 20 tries for a total of 172 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.0%. On the day, they allowed a total of 504 yards but didn't force any takeaways. On the ground, the Rockets gave up 332 yards on 52 carries which gave them an average of 6.4 yards per run allowed.

The Rockets come into this matchup with a record of 6-5 for the 2019 season. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country with an average of 29.1 points per game, putting them 68th in the country. As a team, they are averaging 238.2 yards on the ground per contest which is 1st in the MAC. For total yards, they currently sit at 3rd in the MAC and 30th in the country with 4,962 yards. The Rockets have one of the worst defenses in college football, allowing 30.6 points per game putting them 8th in the Mid-American Conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Rockets have conceded 2,342 yards. Teams are completing 61.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.9 yards per attempt. In discussing yards rushing, Toledo is allowing 211.4 yards per contest ranking them 10th in the MAC and 118th in Division 1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.4 yards per rush which has them at 11th in the MAC and 122nd in the nation overall. In total, they have conceded 2,325 yards rushing through 11 games.

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The last time they took the field, the Central Michigan Chippewas played the Ball State Cardinals and won by a score of 45-44. Jonathan Ward paced the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 17 yards and he added 4 TD's during the game. He ran for a total of 105 yards on 24 carries which meant he averaged 4.4 yards per run. Tyrone Scott led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 95 yards on 4 receptions. He had an average of 23.8 yards per catch for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Chippewas was Quinten Dormady who went 27/38 with 356 yards through the air but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He threw 1 pick in the game. The Chippewas rushed the ball a total of 38 times and earned a total of 145 yards earning them an average of 3.8 yards per run. In all, they finished with a total of 76 plays which gave them a total of 501 yards. For the contest, the Chippewas totaled 33 1st downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 40 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. On the defensive side of the ball, Central Michigan conceded 14 catches on 25 attempts for a total of 268 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.0%. Against the run, the Chippewas conceded 231 yards on 47 attempts which gave them an average of 4.9 yards per carry allowed. For the game, they allowed 499 yards and forced 1 turnover.

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The Chippewas step onto the field holding a record of 7-4. In discussing the offensive production, the Chippewas have one of the most prolific offenses in the country. Central Michigan has made teams respect their running game by averaging 187.5 yards on the ground per game, ranking them 39th in the country. As a team, they have compiled a total of 2,063 rushing yards through 11 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Chippewas average 446.3 yards per game overall putting them 33rd in the nation and 4th in the conference. The Chippewas are giving up 28.6 points per contest which puts them at 4th in the MAC and 72nd in the country. In terms of points allowed, they have given up 315 total points. In terms of rushing yards, they are allowing 123.5 yards per contest which puts them at 26th in the country and 2nd in the conference. This year, they have allowed a total of 1,359 rushing yards and 16.5 rushing touchdowns. Their passing defense is one of the middling groups in college football. They are conceding 244.4 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Chippewas currently sit at 10th in the MAC.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Chippewas college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rockets +8.5

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