Texas Tech vs Baylor Line and Picks Against the Spread

Saturday, October 12, 2019

McLane Stadium

Jett Duffey and the Texas Tech Red Raiders travel to McLane Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Baylor Bears. The Red Raiders are 3-2-0 ATS and 2-3-0 when betting on the total. The Bears are 2-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-2-0 against the spread.

Key Texas Tech Red Raiders Injuries

10/06/19 DB Desmon Smith Knee is questionable Saturday vs Baylor
09/16/19 QB Alan Bowman Shoulder is out indefinitely
08/22/19 WR Cameron Cantrell Collarbone is out for season

Key Baylor Bears Injuries

10/06/19 QB Charlie Brewer Undisclosed left last game, is questionable Saturday vs Texas Tech
10/03/19 RB Craig Williams Undisclosed is out indefinitely
09/13/19 WR Gavin Holmes ACL is out for season

The last time they took the field, the Texas Tech Red Raiders played the Oklahoma State Cowboys and won 45-35. SaRodorick Thompson led the team on the ground for the game. He had a long run of 29 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for a total of 69 yards on 12 carries which meant he averaged 5.8 yards per tote. T.J. Vasher was the leader in receiving yardage by racking up 110 yards on 5 catches. He earned an average of 22.0 yards per reception for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Red Raiders was Jett Duffey who went 26/44 with 424 yards through the air and added 4 TD's. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. The Red Raiders ran the ball a total of 35 times and added 162 yards earning them an average of 4.6 yards per attempt. On the day, the Red Raiders totaled 29 first downs and they had 7 penalties for 70 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. For the game, they ran 79 plays which gave them a total of 586 yards. On the defensive side of the ball, Texas Tech gave up 22 catches on 37 attempts totaling 290 yards, and a completion percentage of 59.5%. For the game, they gave up 509 yards and earned 5 turnovers. In the running game, the Red Raiders gave up 219 yards on 56 carries allowing their opponent an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Red Raiders head into this matchup 3-2 for this year. For total yards, they are currently ranked 5th in the Big 12 and 28th in the country with 2,419 yards. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country averaging 31.6 points per contest, putting them 58th in the country. As a team, they are averaging 172.4 yards on the ground per game which is 7th in the Big 12 Conference. The Red Raiders have one of the average defenses in college football, allowing 26.2 points per contest putting them 6th in the Big 12. When it comes to yards rushing, Texas Tech is allowing 188 yards per contest ranking them 8th in the conference and 99th in college football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per carry ranking them 7th in the Big 12 Conference and 77th in D-1 overall. In total, they have allowed 940 yards rushing through 5 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Red Raiders have conceded 1,557 yards. Teams are completing 56.9% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 8.3 yards per attempt.

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The last time they took the field, the Baylor Bears went up against the Kansas State Wildcats and notched a win by a score of 31-12. Running the show from under center for the Bears was Charlie Brewer who went 14/23 with 230 yards through the air and added 1 touchdown. He ended the game without an interception. JaMycal Hasty paced the team on the ground for that game. He had a long run of 33 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He scurried for 87 yards by way of 8 carries which had him averaging 10.9 yards per carry. Tyquan Thornton was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 92 yards on 4 receptions. He notched an average of 23.0 yards per catch for that game. The Bears ran the ball 31 times and earned a total of 158 yards which had them averaging 5.1 yards per attempt. In the game, they totaled 55 plays for 426 yards. For the contest, the Bears racked up a total of 18 1st downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 52 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. When it comes to their defensive performance, Baylor gave up 22 completions on 34 attempts totaling 218 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.7%. For the game, they allowed a total of 341 yards and forced 2 turnovers. On the ground, the Bears gave up 123 yards on 40 tries giving the other team an average of 3.1 yards per attempt allowed.

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The Bears step onto the field holding a record of 5-0. Baylor is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 204.4 rushing yards per game, putting them 37th in D-1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,022 rushing yards through 5 contests, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Bears average 465.6 yards per contest overall which has them at 28th in D-1 and 6th in the conference. The Bears are allowing 15.4 points per contest which puts them at 1st in the Big 12 Conference and 15th in the nation. Their pass defense is one of the most dominate units in D-1. They are allowing 199.6 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Bears sit in 4th in the Big 12 Conference. In regard to points allowed, they have given up 77 total points. In discussing yards on the ground, they are allowing 106.6 yards per game ranking them 28th in the nation and 2nd in the Big 12. For the 2019 season, they have allowed a total of 533 yards on the ground and 6 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Red Raiders/Bears college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Raiders

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