Texas State vs Arkansas State NCAA Football Picks and Tips 10/26/2019

Saturday, October 26, 2019

Centennial Bank Stadium

Layne Hatcher and the Arkansas State Red Wolves host the Texas State Bobcats at Centennial Bank Stadium on Saturday, October 26, 2019. The odds on this contest have Arkansas State as 13.5-point favorites. The Bobcats are 1-4-1 ATS and 2-3-0 when betting on the total. The Red Wolves are 4-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-5-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Texas State Bobcats played the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks and were beaten 24-14. Running the show from under center for the Bobcats was Gresch Jensen who went 16/30 with 170 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. Caleb Twyford paced the team in rushing for the game. His longest run of the day went for 27 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. He rushed for 78 yards via 10 carries which means he ran for an average of 7.8 yards per run. Trevis Graham Jr. led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 69 yards on 2 receptions. He notched an average of 34.5 yards per catch for the game. The Bobcats ran the ball a total of 28 times and racked up 92 yards giving them an average of 3.3 yards per carry. In all, they ran 67 plays which added up to 338 yards. On the day, the Bobcats racked up a total of 15 first downs and they had 6 penalties for 63 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. In terms of defense, Texas State gave up 18 completions on 33 throws for a total of 225 yards, and a completion percentage of 54.5%. For this contest, they conceded 429 yards and forced 2 takeaways. In the running game, the Bobcats gave up 204 yards on 42 attempts which gave them an average of 4.9 yards per run allowed.

The Bobcats head into this game 2-4 for the 2019 season. For total yards, they rank 10th in the conference and 125th in D-1 with 1,954 yards. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the country with an average of 18.8 points per contest, which has them at 120th in D-1. As a unit, they have an average of 82.7 yards on the ground per contest which is 11th in the conference. The Bobcats have one of the average defenses in college football, allowing 28.7 points per contest which has them at 4th in the Sun Belt. When talking about yards on the ground, Texas State is allowing 218.2 yards per contest ranking them 8th in the Sun Belt and 120th in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5 yards per rush which has them at 7th in the Sun Belt and 109th in the nation overall. In total, they have allowed 1,309 rushing yards through 6 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Bobcats have allowed 1,458 yards. Opponents are completing 59.5% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.8 yards per try.

Related: Gambling 101 Series on How Odds are Calculated - Watch Tony George Explain

In their last outing, the Arkansas State Red Wolves played the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and took the loss by a score of 37-20. Running the show from under center for the Red Wolves was Layne Hatcher who went 23/34 with 303 yards through the air and completed 2 touchdowns. He gave away 1 interception on the day. Marcel Murray led the team in rushing for that game. His longest run of the day went for 23 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for 164 yards via 35 carries which gave him an average of 4.7 yards per carry. Omar Bayless led the team in receiving yardage by earning 150 yards on 9 receptions. He averaged 16.7 yards per catch for that game. The Red Wolves ran the ball a total of 49 times and earned a total of 170 yards which had them averaging 3.5 yards per rush. For the game, they totaled 83 plays which gave them a total of 473 yards. For the game, the Red Wolves got 27 1st downs and they had 7 penalties for 63 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. On the defensive side of the ball, Arkansas State gave up 17 catches on 25 throws totaling 181 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.0%. On the ground, the Red Wolves gave up 315 yards on 46 runs which means they had an average of 6.8 yards per carry allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 496 yards and forced 1 takeaway.

Related: Get college football tips & picks on all of today's games

The Red Wolves come into this game with a record of 3-4. Arkansas State is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 121.7 rushing yards per game, which has them at 106th in D-1. As a unit, they have a total of 852 yards rushing through 7 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Red Wolves average 436.9 yards per contest overall putting them 40th in college football and 5th in the Sun Belt Conference. The Red Wolves are allowing 38.4 points per contest ranking them 10th in the Sun Belt and 126th in Division 1. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road groups in the nation. They are conceding 298.1 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Red Wolves are ranked 11th in the Sun Belt Conference. In regard to points given up, they have given up 269 points in total. When talking about yards on the ground, they are giving up 233.3 yards per contest which puts them at 126th in D-1 and 9th in the Sun Belt Conference. In 2019, they have allowed a total of 1,633 yards rushing and 21.7 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Bobcats/Red Wolves college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bobcats +13.5

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald