Texas State vs Appalachian State Expert College Football Picks Against the Spread 11/23/2019

Game: Texas State Bobcats vs Appalachian State Mountaineers

Date: Saturday, November 23, 2019

Week 13

Location: Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, NC

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Appalachian State -29

Total/Over-Under: 52.5

Tyler Vitt and the Texas State Bobcats are headed to Kidd Brewer Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Appalachian State Mountaineers. The spread on this game has Appalachian State as 29-point favorites. The Bobcats are 1-8-1 ATS and 4-5-0 when betting on the total. The Mountaineers are 5-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 7-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the Texas State Bobcats played the Troy Trojans and took the loss by a score of 63-27. Robert Brown Jr. paced the team in rushing for that game. He tore off a long run of 40 yards and he tallied 1 touchdown for the contest. He scurried for 67 yards on 4 carries which had him averaging 16.8 yards per carry. Hutch White led the team in receiving yardage by earning 80 yards on 7 catches. He averaged 11.4 yards per catch for that game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Bobcats was Tyler Vitt who went 29/44 with 263 yards through the air and tossed 2 touchdowns. He tossed 4 picks in the game. The Bobcats ran the ball 27 times and generated 153 yards which earned them an average of 5.7 yards per attempt. In all, they finished with a total of 71 plays for 416 yards. For the game, the Bobcats racked up a total of 21 1st downs and they had a total of 8 penalties for 82 yards which shows us that this team didn't have their heads in this game. When discussing the defense, Texas State allowed 33 completions on 46 throws totaling 368 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.7%. In the game, they conceded 471 yards but weren't able to force a turnover. On the ground, the Bobcats allowed 103 yards on 32 carries which gave them an average of 3.2 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Bobcats head into this game 3-7 for the 2019 season. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the country averaging 18.7 points per contest, ranking them 120th in college football. As a unit, they have an average of 83 yards on the ground per contest which is 11th in the Sun Belt. For total yardage, they currently sit at 9th in the Sun Belt and 117th in college football with 3,276 yards. The Bobcats have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, allowing 33.2 points per game which has them at 7th in the Sun Belt Conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Bobcats have conceded 2,446 yards. Opponents are completing 63.2% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 7.2 yards per attempt. When talking about rushing yards, Texas State is allowing 209.8 yards per game ranking them 7th in the Sun Belt and 117th in college football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.7 yards per carry putting them 7th in the Sun Belt and 95th in D-1 overall. In total, they have conceded 2,098 rushing yards through 10 contests.

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In their last outing, the Appalachian State Mountaineers went up against the Georgia State Panthers and won 56-27. Darrynton Evans led the team in rushing in the game. He broke a long run for 32 yards and he tallied 1 TD during the game. He rushed for a total of 131 yards via 18 carries which had him averaging 7.3 yards per run. Corey Xavier Sutton led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 173 yards on 8 catches. He had an average of 21.6 yards per catch in the game. Running the show from under center for the Mountaineers was Zac Thomas who went 19/31 with 256 yards through the air and threw 4 TD's. He tossed 1 pick on the day. The Mountaineers ended up running the ball 46 times and racked up a total of 280 yards which gave them an average of 6.1 yards per run. For the game, the Mountaineers totaled 25 1st downs and they had 3 penalties for 35 yards telling us that this team was extremely focused in this game. In all, they finished with a total of 80 plays which gave them a total of 553 yards. In terms of defense, Appalachian State conceded 15 catches on 32 attempts totaling 138 yards, and a completion percentage of 46.9%. In the running game, the Mountaineers conceded 186 yards on 31 attempts which means they had an average of 6.0 yards per attempt allowed. For the game, they conceded 324 yards and earned 3 takeaways.

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The Mountaineers head into this matchup 9-1. Appalachian State is making teams fear their ground game this season by averaging 223.8 yards on the ground per game, putting them 18th in Division 1. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 2,238 rushing yards through 10 contests, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Mountaineers average 425.5 yards per contest overall which has them at 53rd in college football and 6th in the Sun Belt Conference. The Mountaineers are conceding 19.9 points per game which puts them at 2nd in the conference and 21st in the nation. In regard to points allowed, they have given up 199 points in total. In regard to yards on the ground, they are conceding 152.3 yards per contest which puts them at 59th in the country and 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference. For 2019, they have given up 1,523 yards rushing and 12 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the best units in college football. They are allowing 178.4 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Mountaineers sit in 1st in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Bobcats/Mountaineers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bobcats +29

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