Texas A&M vs Ole Miss NCAA Football Tips

Saturday, October 19, 2019

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium is the venue where John Rhys Plumlee and the Ole Miss Rebels will play the Texas A&M Aggies on Saturday. Texas A&M opens this contest as 5-point favorites. The Aggies are 3-3-0 ATS and 2-4-0 when betting on the total. The Rebels are 4-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-3-0 against the spread.

The last time they took the field, the Texas A&M Aggies faced the Alabama Crimson Tide and took the defeat by a score of 47-28. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Aggies was Kellen Mond who went 24/42 with 264 yards passing and added 2 TD's. He ended the game with no interceptions. Kellen Mond paced the team on the ground during the game. His longest run of the day went for 36 yards and he ran for 1 TD in the game. He rushed for 90 yards via 16 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.6 yards per run. Quartney Davis was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 81 yards on 7 catches. He had an average of 11.6 yards per catch during the game. The Aggies ended up running the ball 28 times and totaled 125 yards which had them averaging 4.5 yards per run. Overall, the Aggies earned 24 1st downs and they had 5 infractions for 55 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. For the game, they totaled 70 plays for a total of 389 yards. When discussing the defense, Texas A&M gave up 21 completions on 34 throws for a total of 293 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.8%. On the day, they gave up a total of 448 yards and earned 1 takeaway. In the running game, the Aggies gave up 155 yards on 31 carries which is an average of 5.0 yards per carry allowed.

The Aggies head into this matchup 3-3 for this year. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 32 points per game, which has them at 50th in the nation. As a unit, they are averaging 132.2 rushing yards per game which is 13th in the conference. For total yards, they rank 8th in the Southeastern Conference and 58th in the nation with 2,521 yards. The Aggies have one of the average defenses in college football, giving up 22.7 points per contest putting them 7th in the SEC. When it comes to yards through the air, the Aggies have allowed 1,728 yards. Opponents are completing 60.2% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.1 yards per try. In discussing yards on the ground, Texas A&M is giving up 116.7 yards per game putting them 6th in the Southeastern Conference and 31st in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4 yards per carry ranking them 10th in the conference and 62nd in D-1 overall. Overall, they have conceded 700 rushing yards through 6 contests.

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The last time they took the field, the Ole Miss Rebels went up against the Missouri Tigers and lost 38-27. John Rhys Plumlee paced the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 40 yards and he ran for 2 TD's for the game. He racked up a total of 143 yards by way of 23 carries which had him averaging 6.2 yards per carry. Elijah Moore was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 102 yards on 8 catches. He notched an average of 12.8 yards per catch for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Rebels was Matt Corral who went 10/16 with 133 yards passing but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He ended the game without an interception. The Rebels rushed the ball a total of 45 times and totaled 204 yards earning them an average of 4.5 yards per rushing attempt. Overall, they finished with a total of 78 plays which gave them a total of 440 yards. In the game, the Rebels earned 25 1st downs and they had a total of 7 penalties for 75 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In terms of defense, Ole Miss conceded 23 catches on 35 attempts totaling 329 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.7%. In the running game, the Rebels conceded 234 yards on 42 carries which gave them an average of 5.6 yards per attempt allowed. For the game, they gave up 563 yards and earned 2 turnovers.

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The Rebels head into this matchup 3-4. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Rebels have an offense that could be called mediocre in D-1. Ole Miss has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 230.1 rushing yards per contest, putting them 20th in college football. As a team, they have a total of 1,611 rushing yards through 7 games, and if they want to continue their dominance, they'll want to keep running the ball. The Rebels average 438.4 yards per contest overall putting them 44th in the nation and 5th in the conference. The Rebels are giving up 27.4 points per contest ranking them 13th in the SEC and 70th in the country. In regard to points allowed, they have given up 192 total points. In regard to yards rushing, they are conceding 118.9 yards per contest ranking them 33rd in college football and 7th in the SEC. For 2019, they have conceded 832 yards rushing and 7.7 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the most anemic units in college football. They are conceding 300.4 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Rebels are currently ranked 14th in the SEC.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rebels +5

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