Tennessee vs Missouri Expert College Football Picks 11/23/2019

Game: Tennessee Volunteers vs Missouri Tigers

Date: Saturday, November 23, 2019

Week 13

Location: Memorial Stadium in Champaign, IL

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Missouri -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 46

Kelly Bryant and the Missouri Tigers play the Tennessee Volunteers at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, November 23, 2019. The spread on this contest has Missouri as 4.5-point favorites. The Volunteers are 6-4-0 ATS and 4-6-0 when betting on the total. The Tigers are 2-8-0 when wagering on the over/under and 4-6-0 against the spread.

In their last contest, the Tennessee Volunteers faced the Kentucky Wildcats and won by a score of 17-13. Jarrett Guarantano led the team on the ground for that game. His longest run of the day went for 11 yards but he wasn't able to rush for a TD on the day. He ran for 30 yards on 6 carries which meant he averaged 5.0 yards per run. Marquez Callaway was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 103 yards on 4 catches. He earned an average of 25.8 yards per reception for that game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Volunteers was Jarrett Guarantano who went 7/8 with 115 yards through the air and added 2 TD's. He finished this contest without throwing a pick. The Volunteers ran the ball 21 times and earned 83 yards which earned them an average of 4.0 yards per run. In all, they totaled 46 plays for a total of 296 yards. For the game, the Volunteers racked up 13 first downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 56 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. On the defensive side of the ball, Tennessee conceded 4 catches on 7 attempts for a total of 25 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. Against the run, the Volunteers conceded 302 yards on 64 runs which gave them an average of 4.7 yards per run allowed. For this contest, they conceded a total of 327 yards and earned 1 takeaway.

The Volunteers come into this game with a record of 5-5 for the 2019 season. For total yards, they currently sit at 13th in the conference and 110th in the country with 3,437 yards. They are in the middle of the pack in regard to scoring in the nation averaging 23.9 points per contest, putting them 102nd in the country. As a team, they have an average of 133.2 rushing yards per game which is 12th in the SEC. The Volunteers have one of the average defenses in college football, allowing 23 points per game putting them 8th in the SEC. When talking about yards on the ground, Tennessee is giving up 154.1 yards per contest putting them 10th in the conference and 61st in the nation. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.9 yards per carry ranking them 5th in the Southeastern Conference and 46th in the country overall. In total, they have allowed 1,541 rushing yards through 10 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Volunteers have allowed 2,105 yards. Opponents are completing 58.7% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.0 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the Missouri Tigers played the Florida Gators and took the defeat by a score of 23-6. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Tigers was Kelly Bryant who went 25/39 with 204 yards through the air but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He threw 1 interception in the game. Larry Rountree III led the team in rushing for that contest. He broke a long run for 11 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He rushed for a total of 30 yards on 7 carries which meant he averaged 4.3 yards per run. Jonathan Nance led the team in receiving yardage with a tally of 58 yards on 4 catches. He earned an average of 14.5 yards per catch for that contest. The Tigers ran the football 29 times and earned 52 yards which gave them an average of 1.8 yards per carry. For the game, they finished with a total of 68 plays for 256 yards. For the contest, the Tigers earned a total of 15 1st downs and they had 6 penalties for 55 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. When it comes to their defensive performance, Missouri gave up 24 catches on 36 attempts totaling 330 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. In the running game, the Tigers gave up 56 yards on 26 attempts which means they had an average of 2.2 yards per run allowed. For this contest, they conceded a total of 386 yards but weren't able to force a turnover.

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The Tigers come into this matchup with a record of 5-5. Missouri has made teams respect their running game by averaging 157.7 yards on the ground per contest, putting them 72nd in college football. As a unit, they have compiled a total of 1,577 rushing yards through 10 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Tigers average 388.2 yards per game overall which has them at 83rd in the nation and 10th in the Southeastern Conference. The Tigers are conceding 19.5 points per contest which puts them at 5th in the Southeastern Conference and 19th in the country. In discussing points given up, they have given up 195 points in total. When it comes to yards rushing, they are allowing 131.7 yards per contest ranking them 33rd in D-1 and 4th in the SEC. For this year, they have given up 1,317 yards rushing and 11 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the best groups in college football. They are allowing 165.9 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Tigers currently sit at 1st in the conference.

Who will win tonight's Volunteers/Tigers NCAA football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers -4.5

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