TCU vs Kansas State Expert College Football Picks Against the Spread

Saturday, October 19, 2019

Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Skylar Thompson and the Kansas State Wildcats host the TCU Horned Frogs at Bill Snyder Family Stadium on Saturday, October 19, 2019. Kansas State opens this matchup as 2-point dogs. The Horned Frogs are 2-3-0 ATS and 3-2-0 when betting on the total. The Wildcats are 2-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 3-2-0 against the spread.

In their last outing, the TCU Horned Frogs played the Iowa State Cyclones and lost 49-24. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Horned Frogs was Max Duggan who went 17/25 with 219 yards through the air and threw 2 touchdowns. He walked away with no picks. Darius Anderson led the team on the ground for the game. He tore off a long run of 23 yards and he notched 1 TD for the contest. He racked up a total of 49 yards via 11 carries which had him averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Te'Vailance Hunt was the leader in receiving yardage by earning 78 yards on 4 receptions. He notched an average of 19.5 yards per catch for the game. The Horned Frogs ran the ball 33 times and totaled 108 yards earning them an average of 3.3 yards per rush. In all, they ran 63 plays for a total of 329 yards. On the day, the Horned Frogs had a total of 17 1st downs and they had 9 penalties for 88 yards which is telling in terms of discipline. On the defensive side of the ball, TCU gave up 19 catches on 24 attempts for a total of 247 yards, and a completion percentage of 79.2%. Against the run, the Horned Frogs gave up 189 yards on 37 runs which gave them an average of 5.1 yards per rushing attempt allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 436 yards but didn't get any takeaways.

The Horned Frogs come into this matchup with a record of 3-2 for this season. They are one of the most potent offenses in the country with an average of 37.2 points per contest, which has them at 25th in the country. As a team, they are averaging 241.8 rushing yards per contest which is 3rd in the conference. For total yards, they are currently ranked 7th in the Big 12 and 88th in the country with 2,283 yards. The Horned Frogs have one of the middle tier defenses in the country, giving up 24.8 points per game putting them 5th in the Big 12. When it comes to yards through the air, the Horned Frogs have allowed 1,074 yards. Teams are completing 55.6% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 6.3 yards per attempt. When it comes to rushing yards, TCU is giving up 101.2 yards per contest ranking them 1st in the Big 12 and 17th in D-1. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.1 yards per rush ranking them 2nd in the conference and 23rd in D-1 overall. Overall, they have allowed 506 rushing yards through 5 contests.

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In their last game, the Kansas State Wildcats took on the Baylor Bears and were defeated 31-12. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Wildcats was Skylar Thompson who went 22/34 with 218 yards through the air and added 1 touchdown. He gave away 1 interception on the day. James Gilbert led the team on the ground in the game. He broke a long run for 29 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He racked up a total of 94 yards by way of 18 carries which meant he was running for 5.2 yards per carry. Dalton Schoen led the team in receiving yardage by racking up 69 yards on 6 catches. He notched an average of 11.5 yards per catch in the game. The Wildcats ran the ball a total of 40 times and earned a total of 123 yards giving them an average of 3.1 yards per rushing attempt. For the game, the Wildcats totaled 21 1st downs and they had a total of 5 penalties for 35 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. For the game, they ran 74 plays which gave them a total of 341 yards. When discussing the defense, Kansas State gave up 15 completions on 24 attempts for a total of 268 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.5%. In the running game, the Wildcats gave up 158 yards on 31 runs which gave them an average of 5.1 yards per attempt allowed. On the day, they allowed 426 yards but didn't get any takeaways.

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The Wildcats come into this matchup with a record of 3-2. Kansas State has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 217.8 rushing yards per contest, putting them 28th in the nation. As a team, they have compiled a total of 1,089 yards rushing through 5 games, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Wildcats average 389.6 yards per contest overall which has them at 81st in Division 1 and 8th in the Big 12. The Wildcats are allowing 19 points per game which puts them at 2nd in the Big 12 Conference and 24th in D-1. In discussing points allowed, they have given up 95 points in total. When talking about yards on the ground, they are allowing 188.6 yards per game ranking them 98th in college football and 9th in the Big 12. For the 2019 season, they have conceded a total of 943 yards rushing and 8 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the elite groups in Division 1. They are giving up 155.4 passing yards per game. For passing yards allowed per game, the Wildcats are currently ranked 1st in the Big 12 Conference.

Who will win tonight's Horned Frogs/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs -2

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