TCU at Iowa State Expert College Football Picks Against the Spread 10/5/2019

Saturday, October 5, 2019

Jack Trice Stadium

Jack Trice Stadium is the site where Brock Purdy and the Iowa State Cyclones will take on the TCU Horned Frogs on Saturday. Iowa State opens this matchup as 3-point favorites. The Horned Frogs are 1-2-0 ATS and 1-2-0 when betting on the total. The Cyclones are 2-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-1-0 against the spread.

Key TCU Horned Frogs Injuries

09/29/19 WR Mikel Barkley Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Iowa State
09/29/19 WR Al'Dontre Davis Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Iowa State
09/29/19 WR Taye Barber Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Iowa State
09/29/19 WR TreVontae Hights Leg is questionable Saturday vs Iowa State
09/20/19 QB Justin Rogers Knee is out indefinitely
09/02/19 QB Matthew Baldwin Undisclosed is out indefinitely
08/11/19 DB Noah Daniels Undisclosed is out for season
08/05/19 PK Cole Bunce Undisclosed is out indefinitely

Key Iowa State Cyclones Injuries

09/29/19 OL Colin Newell Knee is questionable Saturday vs TCU
09/29/19 RB Kene Nwangwu Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs TCU
07/09/19 P Corey Dunn Achilles is out for season

In their last game, the TCU Horned Frogs played the Kansas Jayhawks and won by a score of 51-14. Leading the way at QB for the Horned Frogs was Alex Delton who went 10/15 with 186 yards through the air but wasn't able to throw a ball for a TD. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. Darius Anderson paced the team in rushing during the game. His longest run of the day went for 22 yards and he notched 1 touchdown in the game. He scurried for 115 yards on 18 carries which had him averaging 6.4 yards per tote. Derius Davis was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 85 yards on 2 catches. He averaged 42.5 yards per catch during the game. The TCU Horned Frogs ran the ball a total of 61 times and earned 319 yards which earned them an average of 5.2 yards per rushing attempt. For the game, the Horned Frogs earned a total of 29 first downs and they totaled 10 penalties for 95 yards which is telling in terms of discipline. For the game, they finished with a total of 88 plays for a total of 625 yards. When discussing the defense, TCU gave up 12 catches on 29 tries totaling 84 yards, and a completion percentage of 41.4%. Against the run, the Horned Frogs gave up 75 yards on 18 attempts giving the other team an average of 4.2 yards per carry allowed. For this contest, they allowed a total of 159 yards but didn't add to their total of forced turnovers.

The Horned Frogs head into this game 3-1 for this year. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 40.5 points per contest, putting them 17th in college football. As a unit, they have an average of 275.3 rushing yards per contest which is 3rd in the Big 12. For total yards, they are currently ranked 5th in the Big 12 and 46th in college football with 1,954 yards. The Horned Frogs have one of the top tier defenses in the country, giving up 18.8 points per game which has them at 4th in the Big 12. When it comes to passing yards, the Horned Frogs have allowed 853 yards. Teams are completing 50.8% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 5.6 yards per attempt. When it comes to rushing yards, TCU is allowing 79.3 yards per contest putting them 1st in the Big 12 and 13th in the country. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 2.5 yards per carry which has them at 1st in the Big 12 and 11th in the country overall. Overall, they have allowed 317 rushing yards through 4 contests.

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The last time they played, the Iowa State Cyclones faced the Baylor Bears and were defeated 23-21. Johnnie Lang led the team in rushing for the game. He had a long run of 12 yards and he ran for 1 TD for the contest. He ran for a total of 35 yards by way of 6 carries which gave him an average of 5.8 yards per run. Deshaunte Jones was the receiving yardage leader by racking up 77 yards on 7 receptions. He notched an average of 11.0 yards per catch for the game. Leading the way at QB for the Cyclones was Brock Purdy who went 27/45 with 342 yards passing and added 2 TD's. He gave away 1 pick during the game. The Iowa State Cyclones rushed the ball a total of 28 times and earned a total of 63 yards earning them an average of 2.3 yards per carry. For the contest, the Cyclones had a total of 23 1st downs and they totaled 2 penalties for 25 yards which tells us that we had a very focused team on our hands. Overall, they finished with a total of 73 plays for a total of 405 yards. In terms of defense, Iowa State gave up 26 completions on 45 tries totaling 307 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.8%. On the ground, the Cyclones gave up 104 yards on 34 carries which gave the opponent an average of 3.1 yards per carry allowed. On the day, they gave up 411 yards but weren't able to add any takeaways.

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The Cyclones step onto the field holding a record of 2-2. Iowa State needs to do more to make teams respect their running game by averaging 152.3 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 75th in D-1. As a unit, they have a total of 609 yards rushing through 4 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Cyclones average 500 yards per game overall putting them 14th in the country and 3rd in the conference. The Cyclones are allowing 21.8 points per game ranking them 5th in the conference and 45th in Division 1. Their passing defense is one of the middle of the road groups in D-1. They are allowing 233.3 passing yards per game. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Cyclones currently sit at 9th in the conference. When talking about points given up, they have allowed 87 total points. In discussing yards on the ground, they are giving up 119.5 yards per contest ranking them 40th in D-1 and 3rd in the Big 12. For this season, they have given up a total of 478 yards rushing and 2 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Horned Frogs/Cyclones college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs +3

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