Stanford at Oregon State NCAA Football Pick and Parlay 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Reser Stadium

K.J. Costello and the Stanford Cardinal travel to Reser Stadium on Saturday where they'll meet the Oregon State Beavers. The odds on this matchup have Stanford as 4-point favorites. The Cardinal are 1-3-0 ATS and 2-2-0 when betting on the total. The Beavers are 1-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-1-0 against the spread.

Key Stanford Cardinal Injuries

09/22/19 OL Dylan Powell Ankle is questionable Saturday vs Oregon State
09/03/19 OL Walker Little Leg is out for season

Key Oregon State Beavers Injuries

09/22/19 WR Tyjon Lindsey Leg is probable Saturday vs Stanford
09/22/19 RB Jermar Jefferson Foot missed last game, is questionable Saturday vs Stanford
09/19/19 WR Trevon Bradford Foot is out indefinitely
08/27/19 LB Andrzej Hughes-Murray Foot is out indefinitely
08/06/19 DE Jeromy Reichner ACL is out for season
08/06/19 TE Ralph Taufa'asau Finger is out indefinitely

In their last game, the Stanford Cardinal played the Oregon Ducks and took the loss by a score of 21-6. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Cardinal was K.J. Costello who went 16/30 with 120 yards through the air but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He gave away 1 pick on the day. Cameron Scarlett led the team in rushing for that contest. He broke a long run for 23 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He racked up a total of 97 yards on 19 carries which gave him an average of 5.1 yards per run. Michael Wilson was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 61 yards on 5 receptions. He had an average of 12.2 yards per catch for that contest. The Stanford Cardinal ran the ball 33 times and generated 114 yards which had them averaging 3.5 yards per rush. Overall, they ran 63 plays which added up to 234 yards. For the game, the Cardinal had a total of 13 first downs and they had 6 penalties for 45 yards which is telling of how their week of practice went. In terms of defense, Stanford gave up 19 catches on 24 attempts totaling 259 yards, and a completion percentage of 79.2%. On the ground, the Cardinal gave up 61 yards on 30 tries which gave the opponent an average of 2.0 yards per run allowed. Overall, they conceded a total of 320 yards but went the whole game without forcing a turnover.

The Cardinal head into this matchup 1-3 for this season. In terms of scoring, they are one of the worst in the country with an average of 17.5 points per game, putting them 123rd in Division 1. As a unit, they are averaging 115 yards on the ground per game which is 8th in the Pac-12 Conference. For total yards, they sit in 9th in the Pac-12 Conference and 95th in Division 1 with 1,283 yards. The Cardinal have one of the average defenses in the nation, allowing 29.5 points per contest putting them 8th in the conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Cardinal have allowed 823 yards. Opponents are completing 71.1% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 9.6 yards per try. When talking about rushing yards, Stanford is allowing 116.8 yards per game putting them 5th in the Pac-12 Conference and 44th in D-1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.5 yards per rush ranking them 4th in the conference and 46th in the country overall. Overall, they have allowed 467 yards rushing through 4 contests.

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In their last game, the Oregon State Beavers took on the Cal Poly Mustangs and notched a win by a score of 45-7. Leading the way at QB for the Beavers was Jake Luton who went 17/22 with 255 yards passing and added 4 touchdowns. He ended the game with no interceptions. B.J. Baylor paced the team in rushing for the game. He broke a long run for 74 yards and he added 1 TD for the game. He rushed for 101 yards via 7 carries which meant he averaged 14.4 yards per tote. Champ Flemings led the team in receiving yardage with a total of 142 yards on 5 catches. He had an average of 28.4 yards per catch for the game. The Oregon State Beavers ended up running the ball 33 times and racked up 258 yards earning them an average of 7.8 yards per rushing attempt. On the day, they totaled 60 plays for 549 yards. Overall, the Beavers earned a total of 28 first downs and they totaled 3 penalties for 30 yards telling us that they had a strong outing in terms of discipline. When discussing the defense, Oregon State conceded 5 catches on 10 attempts for a total of 112 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. For the game, they conceded a total of 315 yards and earned 2 takeaways. In the running game, the Beavers conceded 203 yards on 58 tries which gave them an average of 3.5 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

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The Beavers head into this matchup 1-2. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Beavers have one of the best offenses in college football. Oregon State has made teams game plan around their running game by averaging 229.3 rushing yards per contest, ranking them 28th in college football. As a unit, they have a total of 688 rushing yards through 3 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Beavers average 476.3 yards per game overall putting them 25th in Division 1 and 2nd in the Pac-12 Conference. The Beavers are conceding 30 points per game which puts them at 9th in the conference and 92nd in the country. Their pass defense is one of the mediocre units in D-1. They are conceding 245.3 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Beavers sit in 9th in the conference. In terms of points allowed, they have given up 90 points in total. In terms of yards on the ground, they are giving up 207.3 yards per contest which puts them at 113th in D-1 and 12th in the conference. In 2019, they have conceded a total of 622 rushing yards and 3.9 rushing touchdowns.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Cardinal -4 and under the total points

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