Southern Miss at Alabama NCAA Football Point Spread Picks 9/21/2019

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Bryant-Denny Stadium

Bryant-Denny Stadium is the venue where Tua Tagovailoa and the Alabama Crimson Tide will take on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles on Saturday. Southern Miss opens this matchup as 39-point underdogs. The over/under opens at 59.5. The Golden Eagles are 2-1-0 ATS and 2-1-0 when betting on the total. The Crimson Tide are 2-1-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-2-0 against the spread.

Key Southern Miss Golden Eagles Injuries

09/14/19 RB Trivenskey Mosley Knee is out indefinitely
07/08/19 WR Quez Watkins Academics is out indefinitely

Key Alabama Crimson Tide Injuries

09/15/19 DL Justin Eboigbe Foot is questionable Saturday vs Southern Miss
09/15/19 OL Chris Owens Undisclosed is questionable Saturday vs Southern Miss
09/15/19 OL Deonte Brown Suspension is questionable Saturday vs Southern Miss
09/13/19 DL Antonio Alfano Academics is out indefinitely
08/31/19 OL Emil Ekiyor Jr. Knee is out indefinitely
08/28/19 LB Dylan Moses Knee is out for season
08/15/19 RB Trey Sanders Knee is out indefinitely
08/12/19 LB Joshua McMillon Knee is out for season

In the last game they played, the Southern Miss Golden Eagles played the Troy Trojans and won by a score of 47-42. De'Michael Harris led the team on the ground for the game. He had a long run of 16 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. He ran for a total of 31 yards by way of 14 carries which meant he was running for 2.2 yards per carry. Quez Watkins was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 209 yards on 7 catches. He notched an average of 29.9 yards per reception for the game. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Golden Eagles was Jack Abraham who went 28/36 with 463 yards through the air and tossed 2 TD's. He finished the game without throwing an interception. The Southern Miss Golden Eagles rushed the ball a total of 40 times and racked up a total of 112 yards which had them averaging 2.8 yards per rush. On the day, they ran 77 plays for 626 yards. Overall, the Golden Eagles earned a total of 26 first downs and they had a total of 10 infractions for 97 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. When discussing the defense, Southern Miss conceded 29 catches on 43 throws for a total of 504 yards, and a completion percentage of 67.4%. Against the run, the Golden Eagles conceded 24 yards on 16 attempts which gave the opponent an average of 1.5 yards per attempt allowed. Overall, they gave up a total of 528 yards and forced 0 takeaways.

The Golden Eagles head into this game 2-1 in 2019. For total yardage, they sit in 2nd in C-USA and 33rd in Division 1 with 1,359 yards. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation averaging 33.3 points per contest, ranking them 54th in Division 1. As a team, they are averaging 106 yards on the ground per game which is 13th in the conference. The Golden Eagles have one of the average defenses in the nation, allowing 30 points per game putting them 7th in the conference. When talking about yards on the ground, Southern Miss is giving up 104.7 yards per game ranking them 3rd in the conference and 40th in the country. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.4 yards per rush which has them at 4th in the conference and 44th in Division 1 overall. In total, they have conceded 314 rushing yards through 3 contests. When it comes to passing yards, the Golden Eagles have allowed 1,041 yards. Teams are completing 65.6% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 8.6 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the Alabama Crimson Tide took on the South Carolina Gamecocks and earned the win by a score of 47-23. Running the show from under center for the Crimson Tide was Tua Tagovailoa who went 28/36 with 444 yards passing and completed 5 touchdowns. He ended the game with no interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing during the game. He tore off a long run of 12 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for 36 yards via 7 carries which means he ran for an average of 5.1 yards per run. DeVonta Smith was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 136 yards on 8 catches. He averaged 17.0 yards per catch during the game. The Alabama Crimson Tide ended up rushing 25 times and totaled 76 yards giving them an average of 3.0 yards per run. Overall, they finished with a total of 64 plays which added up to 571 yards. For the game, the Crimson Tide racked up a total of 25 1st downs and they had 11 penalties for 92 yards telling us that this team had an undisciplined week of practice. When discussing the defense, Alabama gave up 36 completions on 57 tries for a total of 324 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.2%. In the game, they conceded a total of 459 yards and earned 2 takeaways. Against the run, the Crimson Tide gave up 135 yards on 29 runs which gave the opponent an average of 4.7 yards per run allowed.

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The Crimson Tide head into this matchup 3-0. Alabama has made teams respect their running game by averaging 179.7 rushing yards per game, putting them 54th in Division 1. As a team, they have compiled a total of 539 rushing yards through 3 games, so they will want to continue to try to improve on the run game so opponents will have to respect all facets of the game. The Crimson Tide average 562 yards per game overall which has them at 7th in the country and 2nd in the conference. The Crimson Tide are allowing 12 points per game ranking them 3rd in the Southeastern Conference and 15th in D-1. Their pass defense is one of the top groups in college football. They are conceding 194 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Crimson Tide are ranked 6th in the conference. When it comes to points allowed, they have given up 36 points in total. When talking about rushing yards, they are giving up 114.3 yards per game which puts them at 46th in D-1 and 7th in the conference. For the 2019 season, they have allowed 343 rushing yards and 0 rushing TDs.

Who will win tonight's Golden Eagles/Crimson Tide college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Golden Eagles +39

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