South Alabama vs Texas State NCAA Football Game Picks 11/9/2019

Saturday, November 9, 2019

Bobcat Stadium

Bobcat Stadium is the site where Tyler Vitt and the Texas State Bobcats will play the South Alabama Jaguars on Saturday. The spread on this game has Texas State as 7-point favorites. The Jaguars are 4-4-0 ATS and 1-7-0 when betting on the total. The Bobcats are 2-5-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-6-1 against the spread.

In their last game, the South Alabama Jaguars went up against the Appalachian State Mountaineers and lost 30-3. Tra Minter led the team in rushing in the game. He broke a long run for 14 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He rushed for 94 yards via 23 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.1 yards per carry. Cade Sutherland was the leader in receiving yardage with a tally of 30 yards on 1 catch. He averaged 30.0 yards per catch in the game. Leading the way at QB for the Jaguars was Desmond Trotter who went 3/8 with 43 yards through the air but didn't get a passing TD in the game. He ended the game with no interceptions. The Jaguars ran the ball 38 times and totaled 87 yards which gave them an average of 2.3 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, the Jaguars totaled 10 first downs and they totaled 4 penalties for 30 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In the game, they finished with a total of 57 plays which gave them a total of 139 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, South Alabama allowed 16 catches on 28 tries totaling 132 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. For the game, they allowed 445 yards but didn't get any takeaways. In the running game, the Jaguars allowed 313 yards on 45 attempts which gave them an average of 7.0 yards per run allowed.

The Jaguars head into this game 1-7 for 2019. For total yardage, they rank 11th in the Sun Belt and 128th in the country with 2,327 yards. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the nation with an average of 14.6 points per contest, putting them 129th in the country. As a unit, they are averaging 149.8 rushing yards per game which is 7th in the conference. The Jaguars have one of the most lackluster defenses in the country, giving up 30.4 points per game putting them 6th in the Sun Belt Conference. When it comes to yards through the air, the Jaguars have conceded 1,129 yards. Teams are completing 63.8% of the passes they throw against them and averaging 7.7 yards per try. In discussing yards rushing, South Alabama is giving up 217.5 yards per game which has them at 8th in the Sun Belt Conference and 121st in the nation. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.9 yards per rush putting them 6th in the conference and 103rd in the nation overall. In total, they have conceded 1,740 yards rushing through 8 games.

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In their last game, the Texas State Bobcats faced the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and ended up taking the loss by a score of 31-3. Tyler Vitt led the team on the ground for the game. His longest run of the day went for 13 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He ran for a total of 38 yards via 10 carries which had him averaging 3.8 yards per carry. Trevis Graham Jr. led the team in receiving yardage by earning 52 yards on 6 catches. He earned an average of 8.7 yards per reception for the game. Running the show from under center for the Bobcats was Tyler Vitt who went 24/34 with 206 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. He threw 2 interceptions in the game. The Bobcats ran the ball a total of 22 times and added 58 yards which had them averaging 2.6 yards per carry. For the game, the Bobcats racked up 17 1st downs and they totaled 4 infractions for 40 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. In all, they ran 58 plays for 264 yards. When discussing the defense, Texas State allowed 13 completions on 21 attempts for a total of 183 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.9%. On the ground, the Bobcats allowed 296 yards on 49 attempts which is an average of 6.0 yards per rushing attempt allowed. For the game, they allowed 479 yards and forced 1 turnover.

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The Bobcats come into this game with a record of 2-6. Texas State is having a year to forget in the ground game by averaging 79.4 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 127th in the country. As a team, they have compiled a total of 635 yards rushing through 8 contests, so they are going to want to make some changes to the ground game if they want to make teams respect them. The Bobcats average 305.6 yards per game overall putting them 120th in the nation and 10th in the Sun Belt. The Bobcats are giving up 30.1 points per game which puts them at 5th in the Sun Belt and 87th in Division 1. When talking about points given up, they have allowed 241 points in total. When it comes to yards on the ground, they are allowing 226.4 yards per game which puts them at 125th in the country and 9th in the Sun Belt. For 2019, they have given up 1,811 yards on the ground and 16.8 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense is one of the best groups in D-1. They are giving up 189.3 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Bobcats are currently ranked 3rd in the Sun Belt.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Bobcats college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bobcats -7

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