San Jose State at Air Force Expert College Football Picks Against the Spread 9/27/2019

Friday, September 27, 2019

Falcon Stadium

Falcon Stadium is the site where Donald Hammond and the Air Force Falcons will play the San Jose State Spartans on Friday. Air Force opens this matchup as 20-point favorites. The Spartans are 1-2-0 ATS and 0-3-0 when betting on the total. The Falcons are 1-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 2-1-0 against the spread.

Key San Jose State Spartans Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Air Force Falcons Injuries

09/22/19 QB Donald Hammond III Ankle injured last game, is probable Friday vs San Jose State

In their last contest, the San Jose State Spartans took on the Arkansas Razorbacks and earned the win by a score of 31-24. DeJon Packer paced the team on the ground in the game. He broke a long run for 19 yards and he ran for 1 TD in the game. He rushed for a total of 40 yards via 8 carries which meant he was running for 5.0 yards per run. Tre Walker was the receiving yardage leader with a tally of 161 yards on 12 catches. He had an average of 13.4 yards per catch in the game. Running the show from under center for the Spartans was Josh Love who went 32/49 with 402 yards through the air and threw 2 TD's. He threw 1 pick in the game. The San Jose State Spartans ran the ball 21 times and generated 106 yards earning them an average of 5.0 yards per carry. On the day, they ran 70 plays which gave them a total of 508 yards. Overall, the Spartans totaled 27 1st downs and they totaled 9 penalties for 85 yards telling us that this team was extremely undisciplined. In terms of defense, San Jose State conceded 28 completions on 50 attempts totaling 356 yards, and a completion percentage of 56.0%. For this contest, they allowed 487 yards and forced 5 turnovers. On the ground, the Spartans conceded 131 yards on 32 tries which means they allowed 4.1 yards per rushing attempt allowed.

The Spartans come into this game with a record of 2-1 in 2019. In terms of scoring, they are one of the marginal teams in the country with an average of 27.3 points per contest, which has them at 86th in the country. As a unit, they have an average of 126.3 rushing yards per contest which is 9th in the Mountain West. For total yards, they rank 9th in the MWC and 102nd in the country with 1,238 yards. The Spartans have one of the average defenses in the nation, giving up 25.3 points per game ranking them 6th in the Mountain West. In regard to rushing yards, San Jose State is giving up 165.7 yards per contest which has them at 11th in the conference and 86th in college football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.9 yards per carry which has them at 7th in the conference and 61st in D-1 overall. In total, they have conceded 497 rushing yards through 3 contests. When it comes to yards through the air, the Spartans have conceded 859 yards. Opponents are completing 61.5% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.7 yards per attempt.

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In their last game, the Air Force Falcons took on the Boise State Broncos and took the defeat by a score of 30-19. Leading the way at QB for the Falcons was Donald Hammond III who went 6/11 with 83 yards through the air and tossed 1 touchdown. He tossed 1 interception in the game. Taven Birdow paced the team on the ground for the game. He had a long run of 13 yards but wasn't able to convert a rushing touchdown. He scurried for 67 yards by way of 18 carries which had him averaging 3.7 yards per run. Geraud Sanders was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 86 yards on 5 receptions. He earned an average of 17.2 yards per reception for the game. The Air Force Falcons ended up rushing 51 times and earned a total of 242 yards which earned them an average of 4.7 yards per rushing attempt. In the game, the Falcons had a total of 19 first downs and they had a total of 2 infractions for 10 yards which is telling in terms of how disciplined they are. On the day, they totaled 64 plays for 355 yards. When it comes to their defensive performance, Air Force gave up 20 completions on 28 attempts for a total of 260 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.4%. For this contest, they allowed a total of 353 yards but finished the game without a turnover. In the running game, the Falcons gave up 93 yards on 29 attempts giving the other team an average of 3.2 yards per carry allowed.

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The Falcons head into this game 2-1. In terms of offensive proficiency, the Falcons have one of the most prolific offenses in the country. Air Force has shown the nation they have a formidable rushing attack by averaging 318 yards on the ground per contest, which has them at 4th in college football. As a unit, they have a total of 954 yards rushing through 3 contests, so they'll look to continue their dominance on the ground to grind out wins. The Falcons average 421 yards per contest overall ranking them 61st in Division 1 and 4th in the Mountain West. The Falcons are giving up 20 points per game which puts them at 3rd in the MWC and 37th in D-1. In regard to points given up, they have given up 60 points in total. When it comes to rushing yards, they are allowing 91 yards per game ranking them 23rd in D-1 and 3rd in the conference. In 2019, they have allowed 273 yards on the ground and 3 rushing TDs. Their passing defense is one of the top groups in the country. They are conceding 188.7 passing yards per contest. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Falcons are currently ranked 6th in the Mountain West.

Who will win tonight's Spartans/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Spartans +20

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