SMU vs Memphis Expert College Football Picks Against the Spread 11/2/2019

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium

Brady White and the Memphis Tigers play the SMU Mustangs at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium on Saturday, November 2, 2019. Memphis opens this matchup as 3-point favorites. The Mustangs are 6-2-0 ATS and 7-1-0 when betting on the total. The Tigers are 6-2-0 when wagering on the over/under and 5-3-0 against the spread.

In their last game, the SMU Mustangs played the Houston Cougars and earned the victory by a score of 34-31. Running the show from under center for the Mustangs was Shane Buechele who went 20/38 with 203 yards passing and tossed 2 touchdowns. He tossed 1 pick on the day. Xavier Jones led the team in rushing for that contest. He tore off a long run of 62 yards and he added 2 TD's during the game. He scurried for 133 yards on 22 carries which meant he averaged 6.0 yards per tote. James Proche was the receiving yardage leader with a total of 83 yards on 7 catches. He had an average of 11.9 yards per reception for that contest. The Mustangs ran the ball a total of 34 times and earned a total of 182 yards which gave them an average of 5.4 yards per rushing attempt. For the game, they ran 72 plays which gave them a total of 385 yards. On the day, the Mustangs totaled 22 first downs and they had a total of 9 penalties for 86 yards which shows us how undisciplined this team can be. When it comes to their defensive performance, SMU allowed 18 completions on 35 tries for a total of 407 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.4%. Overall, they gave up 510 yards and earned 3 takeaways. In the running game, the Mustangs allowed 103 yards on 40 carries which is an average of 2.6 yards per run allowed.

The Mustangs come into this game with a record of 8-0 for 2019. They are one of top scoring teams in the nation with an average of 43 points per game, which has them at 6th in college football. As a unit, they have an average of 202.8 rushing yards per contest which is 5th in the AAC. For total yards, they rank 2nd in the American Athletic Conference and 9th in college football with 4,033 yards. The Mustangs have one of the average defenses in college football, allowing 27.8 points per game which has them at 7th in the American Athletic Conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Mustangs have allowed 2,411 yards. Opponents are completing 56.3% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 6.9 yards per attempt. In regard to rushing yards, SMU is allowing 116.6 yards per contest putting them 2nd in the conference and 24th in Division 1. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per rush putting them 3rd in the AAC and 24th in the country overall. In total, they have allowed 933 rushing yards through 8 games.

In their last game, the Memphis Tigers played the Tulsa Golden Hurricane and notched a win by a score of 42-41. Taking the lead at quarterback for the Tigers was Brady White who went 15/25 with 277 yards passing and threw 2 TD's. He walked away from this game with no interceptions. Kenneth Gainwell paced the team on the ground in the game. He tore off a long run of 62 yards and he tallied 3 touchdowns for the contest. He rushed for 149 yards via 24 carries which meant he averaged 6.2 yards per carry. Damonte Coxie was the receiving yardage leader by earning 112 yards on 5 receptions. He earned an average of 22.4 yards per catch in the game. The Tigers ended up rushing 33 times and earned a total of 192 yards which gave them an average of 5.8 yards per run. In all, they ran 59 plays which added up to 498 yards. For the game, the Tigers racked up a total of 21 1st downs and they totaled 7 infractions for 51 yards which tells us their heads weren't always in the game. When it comes to their defensive performance, Memphis allowed 23 completions on 40 throws totaling 309 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.5%. For this contest, they conceded a total of 584 yards but weren't able to foce a turnover. Against the run, the Tigers allowed 275 yards on 61 tries which gave them an average of 4.5 yards per attempt allowed.

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The Tigers head into this matchup 7-1. In discussing the offensive production, the Tigers have one of the most prolific offenses in D-1. Memphis is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 188.1 yards on the ground per game, which has them at 44th in Division 1. As a team, they have a total of 1,505 yards rushing through 8 games, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. The Tigers average 470.6 yards per contest overall putting them 22nd in D-1 and 4th in the AAC. The Tigers are allowing 23 points per contest which puts them at 4th in the conference and 42nd in the nation. Their pass defense is one of the best units in the country. They are giving up 186.3 passing yards per contest. For passing yards allowed per game, the Tigers are ranked 2nd in the conference. When it comes to points allowed, they have allowed 184 points in total. In regard to yards rushing, they are giving up 188.8 yards per game which puts them at 94th in college football and 8th in the AAC. For 2019, they have allowed a total of 1,510 yards rushing and 12 rushing touchdowns.

Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mustangs +3

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